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VMI

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: VMI Keydets, VMI
Program History
Coach: Andrew Wilson

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

92.5
PPG
89.0
Opp
+3.5
Margin
40.1%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
78.4%
FT%
46.0
RPG
18.5
APG
16.0
TO
86.2
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#341
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 687 (returning production + recruiting): last season 764, returning +28, transfers -74, freshmen -30 More → 685 (#349) Preseason prior 687 (returning production + recruiting): last season 764, returning +28, transfers -74, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 812 (#352) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 905 (#352) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More → -11.5 (#339) HCA +14.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → -14.9 (#353) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.141 (#319) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.134 (#343) AdjNet -11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.132 (#342) AdjNet -11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.282 (#341) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.340 (#342) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.237 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.247 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 794 (#349) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Virginia Lynchburg Dragons W 115 - 83
2026-11-05 @ SMU Mustangs L 70 - 95
2026-11-07 @ UTSA Roadrunners - Preview
2026-11-11 vs North Carolina Central Eagles - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
TJ Johnson TJ Johnson F 2 21.0 18.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 12.0 11.0 - - - - 41.7 41.2 100.0 - 64.4 56.2
Rickey Bradley Jr. Rickey Bradley Jr. G 2 21.5 11.5 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 4.5 10.0 5.5 - - - - 30.0 28.6 75.0 - 45.5 35.0
Rokas Zilys Rokas Zilys G 2 19.5 11.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.5 8.0 - - - - 46.7 50.0 83.3 - 62.4 56.7
Aj Clark Aj Clark G 2 14.5 10.5 1.0 1.5 4.5 0.0 0.5 6.0 11.0 - - - - 75.0 0.0 75.0 - 76.3 75.0
Alexander Daushvili Alexander Daushvili F 2 19.5 8.5 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.5 8.5 - - - - 54.5 100.0 75.0 - 66.6 63.6
Zion Vaamonde Zion Vaamonde F 2 16.0 7.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.5 3.0 - - - - 33.3 37.5 66.7 - 46.0 43.3
Trap Johnson Trap Johnson G 2 19.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 7.5 8.5 - - - - 26.7 22.2 80.0 - 40.7 33.3
Walker Andrews Walker Andrews G 1 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 - - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Joao Panzo Joao Panzo F 2 15.0 5.0 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.5 3.5 - - - - 45.5 0.0 0 - 45.5 45.5
Cal Liston Cal Liston F 2 13.5 4.0 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Dionysis Exarchopoulos Dionysis Exarchopoulos F 2 8.0 2.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 - - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 36.3 33.3
Mason Lawson Mason Lawson G 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Paulius Narvilas Paulius Narvilas F 2 18.0 2.0 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 - - - - 0.0 0 66.7 - 23.1 0.0
Rodrigas Jucevicius Rodrigas Jucevicius G 2 7.5 1.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Branford Edmonds Iii Branford Edmonds Iii G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Robert Peters Robert Peters F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Cazell Henderson-Bradley Cazell Henderson-Bradley G 1 6.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

152 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Clark28% Vaamonde29% Johnson100% Zilys100% Johnson40% Bradley40% Johnson31%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Panzo21% Bradley41% Zilys33% Zilys29% Vaamonde50% Johnson40% Johnson45% Henderson-Bradley14% Johnson30%
Misses: who misses most here

TJ JohnsonAj ClarkRokas ZilysRickey Bradley Jr.Zion VaamondeJoao PanzoTrap JohnsonCazell Henderson-Bradley

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 29-48 60.4 58 Aj Clark 28% (16 pts) Alexander Daushvili 14% (8 pts) Joao Panzo 21% (4 misses) Zion Vaamonde 21% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 7-24 29.2 14 Zion Vaamonde 29% (4 pts) Aj Clark 14% (2 pts) Rickey Bradley Jr. 41% (7 misses) Alexander Daushvili 12% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 1-7 14.3 2 Trap Johnson 100% (2 pts) - Rokas Zilys 33% (2 misses) TJ Johnson 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 1-8 12.5 2 Rokas Zilys 100% (2 pts) - Rokas Zilys 29% (2 misses) Trap Johnson 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 0-4 0.0 0 - - Zion Vaamonde 50% (2 misses) Rickey Bradley Jr. 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-10 0.0 0 - - Trap Johnson 40% (4 misses) TJ Johnson 20% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 5-16 31.2 15 TJ Johnson 40% (6 pts) Alexander Daushvili 20% (3 pts) TJ Johnson 45% (5 misses) Aj Clark 9% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-12 41.7 15 Rickey Bradley Jr. 40% (6 pts) Cal Liston 20% (3 pts) Cazell Henderson-Bradley 14% (1 misses) Dionysis Exarchopoulos 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 13-23 56.5 39 TJ Johnson 31% (12 pts) Rokas Zilys 15% (6 pts) TJ Johnson 30% (3 misses) Rickey Bradley Jr. 20% (2 misses)