VCU
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 978 (#173) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 975 (#186) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.5 (#203) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.4 (#208) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.379 (#208) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.327 (#201) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.323 (#202) | AdjNet -6.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.407 (#206) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.432 (#213) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.394 (#201) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.399 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 986 (#169) | RD 147 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | vs | Louisville | W | 79 - 74 |
| 1999-11-26 | vs | Delaware State | W | 79 - 68 |
| 1999-11-28 | vs | Colorado | W | 82 - 78 |
| 1999-11-30 | vs | Tulane | L | 44 - 85 |
| 1999-12-05 | @ | Texas A&M | L | 59 - 75 |
| 1999-12-07 | @ | Mississippi | L | 62 - 75 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Western Kentucky | L | 58 - 75 |
| 1999-12-18 | vs | Radford | W | 94 - 80 |
| 1999-12-21 | vs | VMI | W | 101 - 86 |
| 1999-12-23 | @ | Pittsburgh | W | 64 - 60 |
| 1999-12-30 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2000-01-05 | vs | Old Dominion | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2000-01-12 | vs | William & Mary | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | James Madison | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2000-01-19 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | George Mason | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | East Carolina | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Old Dominion | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2000-02-02 | @ | James Madison | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | William & Mary | L | 56 - 85 |
| 2000-02-08 | @ | Richmond | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | UNC Wilmington | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2000-02-16 | @ | George Mason | L | 86 - 87 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | East Carolina | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | American | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Richmond | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2000-02-29 | @ | American | L | 88 - 97 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | UNC Wilmington | L | 57 - 66 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.