VCU
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
66.5
PPG
60.0
Opp
+6.5
Margin
45.6%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
31.0
RPG
12.0
APG
19.0
TO
72.9
Est. poss./game
61.2
Adj PPG
62.5
Adj Opp PPG
#170
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 978 (#180) | Preseason prior 988 (returning production + recruiting): last season 941, returning -6, transfers +52, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 976 (#181) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 976 (#181) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.1 (#150) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.2 (#150) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.558 (#142) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.536 (#147) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.575 (#138) | AdjNet +8.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.475 (#170) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.475 (#171) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.516 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.516 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 991 (#162) | RD 194 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.488 (#164) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W | 67 - 43 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Virginia Tech Hokies | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | North Carolina Central Eagles | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Maine Black Bears | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Macy Spencer
|
G | 2 | 37.5 | 16.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 18 | 2 | 9.0 | 9.6 | 28.1 | 30.0 | 81.8 | 2.92 | 44.8 | 37.5 |
Ann Zachariah
|
F | 2 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.5 | 14 | 2 | 7.0 | 10.8 | 68.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | -1.68 | 71.1 | 75.0 |
Alexis Riggs
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 80.0 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 1.28 | 101.1 | 110.0 |
Ada Toribio Saez
|
G | 2 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 10 | 2 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 50.8 | 47.4 |
Nicole Toresani
|
F | 2 | 28.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 11 | 2 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 43.8 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.66 | 53.8 | 46.9 |
Cyriah Griffin
|
G | 2 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 14 | 2 | 7.0 | 15.5 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.75 | 85.6 | 78.6 |
Lucy Ghaifan
|
F | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.04 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
L. Crespín
|
G | 2 | 23.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.91 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Lucia Sotelo
|
F | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.51 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Katarina Knezevic
|
G | 2 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -4 | 2 | -2.0 | -7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
Patricia Augustin
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Lexi Fleming
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Daija Preston
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
GiGi Quist
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
103 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ann ZachariahMacy SpencerAda Toribio SaezNicole ToresaniAlexis RiggsKatarina Knezevic
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 20-34 | 58.8 | 40 | Ann Zachariah 25% (10 pts) | Ada Toribio Saez 20% (8 pts) | Nicole Toresani 43% (6 misses) | Macy Spencer 36% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-27 | 51.9 | 28 | Ada Toribio Saez 36% (10 pts) | Ann Zachariah 29% (8 pts) | Katarina Knezevic 23% (3 misses) | Macy Spencer 23% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Ann Zachariah 50% (1 misses) | Macy Spencer 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Ada Toribio Saez 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Ann Zachariah 100% (3 pts) | - | Ann Zachariah 33% (1 misses) | Macy Spencer 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Nicole Toresani 100% (3 pts) | - | Nicole Toresani 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Alexis Riggs 40% (6 pts) | Ann Zachariah 20% (3 pts) | Macy Spencer 82% (9 misses) | Ada Toribio Saez 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Alexis Riggs 50% (3 pts) | Macy Spencer 50% (3 pts) | Ada Toribio Saez 40% (2 misses) | Macy Spencer 40% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-10 | 40.0 | 12 | Macy Spencer 100% (12 pts) | - | Macy Spencer 33% (2 misses) | Ada Toribio Saez 17% (1 misses) |