🐻⬇️🏀

Utica

Also known as: Utica
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 931 (#363) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 895 (#381) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -20.7 (#359) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.132 (#616) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.1 More → 0.105 (#354) NetEff -16.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -29.2 More → 0.033 (#627) AdjNet -29.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.8 More → 0.029 (#625) AdjNet -29.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.157 (#622) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 71.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 vs Union (NY) L 61 - 91
2024-11-15 @ SUNY Potsdam L 50 - 55
2024-11-16 @ Plattsburgh St. L 40 - 67
2024-11-22 @ Westfield St. L 70 - 78
2024-11-23 vs Wellesley W 69 - 58
2024-12-02 vs SUNY Delhi W 66 - 35
2024-12-06 @ Wesleyan (CT) L 48 - 66
2024-12-07 @ Rivier L 63 - 70
2025-01-02 vs Cortland L 48 - 73
2025-01-07 vs SUNY Brockport L 58 - 75
2025-01-10 @ Nazareth L 40 - 65
2025-01-11 @ St. John Fisher L 57 - 75
2025-01-14 @ SUNY Geneseo L 36 - 76
2025-01-17 vs Houghton L 43 - 92
2025-01-18 vs Alfred L 59 - 62
2025-01-24 vs Hartwick W 63 - 47
2025-01-25 @ Russell Sage L 57 - 58
2025-01-28 vs SUNY Poly L 62 - 72
2025-01-31 vs St. John Fisher L 69 - 79
2025-02-01 vs Nazareth L 51 - 73
2025-02-07 @ Hartwick L 53 - 54
2025-02-08 vs Russell Sage L 60 - 73
2025-02-14 @ Elmira L 50 - 61
2025-02-18 @ SUNY Poly L 38 - 49
2025-02-19 @ Keuka W 77 - 54

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Vanessa Hall - 22 30.9 17.1 5.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 1.6 12.7 10.2 -69 -2.3 -2.3 47.0 35.9 80.5 -0.6 57.2 51.1
Mckenzie Simmons - 4 34.5 16.2 9.8 3.0 1.5 0.8 4.0 13.5 13.8 -66 -1.9 -1.9 40.7 30.4 93.3 -0.09 53.6 47.2
Hayleigh Lagase - 25 25.2 6.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 0.4 2.4 6.9 6.0 -57 -2.4 -3.1 35.5 29.5 81.8 -0.38 46.1 42.2
Natalie Cornell - 25 19.3 5.2 3.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.4 5.5 3.4 -27 -0.8 -1.1 39.9 0.0 61.8 -0.1 42.8 39.9
Hanna Godkin - 22 23.9 4.8 3.7 1.5 1.5 0.2 1.4 5.3 5.0 -15 -0.6 -0.9 32.5 25.4 65.2 -0.37 41.7 38.9
Carly Atty - 25 26.4 3.6 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 2.0 4.8 2.1 -47 -1.4 -1.9 28.6 26.5 50.0 -0.21 36.9 36.1
Kelsey Mccaskill - 3 7.3 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 2.0 -11 -0.7 -2.3 28.6 33.3 50.0 -0.23 41.5 35.7
Emma Simmons - 25 16.1 2.2 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.4 3.8 0.7 18 0.6 1.1 22.3 16.7 30.8 0.03 25.6 24.5
Kate Mahoney - 25 10.4 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.6 2.6 -0.5 -7 -0.3 -0.6 27.7 19.4 100.0 -0.06 35.5 32.3
Jaida Larsen - 23 5.0 0.9 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.1 -23 -1.1 -4.9 28.0 0.0 60.0 -0.12 34.0 28.0
Madelyn Cozzens - 19 3.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 - - - 27.3 0 75.0 0.05 35.3 27.3
Sara Hotaling - 22 3.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 -0.2 6 0.4 1.3 23.5 0.0 60.0 -0.08 28.6 23.5
MarLie Macek - 20 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 11 2.2 7.5 14.3 0 0 0.04 14.3 14.3
Brianelly Cruz - 21 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Ella Lobdell - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kendall Abraham - 21 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9 1.8 6.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.06 8.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG