Utica
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1152 (#87) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1116 (#120) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1095 (#99) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.0 (#297) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.4 (#502) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.752 (#317) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.709 (#31) | NetEff +7.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.409 (#396) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.399 (#396) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.435 (#403) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.476 (#464) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.472 (#425) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.485 (#420) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1134 (#123) | RD 104 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | SUNY Delhi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Keystone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Hamilton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hobart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Hartwick | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. John Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayion Thompson | - | 22 | 31.7 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 11.7 | 8.9 | 115 | 5.5 | 15.5 | 45.3 | 32.7 | 86.8 | 3.5 | 59.4 | 52.3 |
| Jordan Cain | - | 22 | 28.8 | 14.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 11.4 | 9.3 | 88 | 4.2 | 14.0 | 39.6 | 30.1 | 75.4 | 1.74 | 53.2 | 45.8 |
| Liam Teague | - | 20 | 30.4 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 12.2 | 35 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 47.9 | 33.3 | 61.5 | -1.8 | 52.9 | 50.2 |
| Keyaton Parks | - | 22 | 26.7 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 14.7 | 38 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 69.7 | 0 | 51.5 | -1.58 | 67.9 | 69.7 |
| Ryan McCardle | - | 22 | 22.7 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 74 | 3.5 | 14.1 | 48.0 | 50.7 | 64.7 | 1.41 | 63.6 | 63.0 |
| Zyon Lord | - | 21 | 14.8 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 39 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 34.7 | 33.3 | 56.5 | 1.8 | 44.9 | 42.9 |
| Isaiah Smith | - | 22 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 44.8 | 33.3 | 54.2 | 0.06 | 51.1 | 49.1 |
| Griffin Barasa | - | 22 | 18.4 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 27 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 43.5 | 23.5 | 45.2 | 0.23 | 48.6 | 47.8 |
| Ben Wittman | - | 20 | 12.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 9 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 51.2 | 0.0 | 81.8 | -1.87 | 55.4 | 51.2 |
| Frank Liriano | - | 4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | -4 | -1.3 | -218.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 66.7 | - | 88.7 | 100.0 |
| Jeffrey Manuel | - | 12 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 55.6 | -1.92 | 42.2 | 36.7 |
| Iggy Izevbuwa | - | 9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | -11 | -1.6 | -57.1 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 37.9 | 36.4 |
| Joshua Sand | - | 8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 0.7 | 69.8 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Jayden Larregue | - | 15 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 4 | 0.3 | 10.8 | 19.0 | 16.7 | 25.0 | -0.35 | 22.0 | 21.4 |
| Zachary Petucci | - | 3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Phoenix Weydig | - | 5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -18 | -4.5 | -340.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Carter Deak | - | 4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -13 | -4.3 | -1485.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke Sherman | - | 5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -7 | -1.8 | -144.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG