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Utica

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1006 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 1033 (#147) HCA +62 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 1009 (#156) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ +1.8 (#155) HCA +1.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ +1.6 (#155) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.450 (#195) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 78.4 More โ†’ 0.523 (#167) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 78.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 78.4 More โ†’ 0.503 (#169) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 78.4
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 217 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1026 (#150) RD 217 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-12 vs SUNY New Paltz L 73 - 86

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.