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Utah Valley Wolverines

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Utah Valley Wolverines
Program History
Coach: Dan Nielson

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

73.5
PPG
48.0
Opp
+25.5
Margin
36.9%
FG%
25.5%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
46.5
RPG
19.0
APG
18.0
TO
83.5
Est. poss./game
59.8
Adj PPG
58.7
Adj Opp PPG
#194
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 924 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1000, returning -63, transfers -13, freshmen +0 More → 918 (#221) Preseason prior 924 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1000, returning -63, transfers -13, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +179 elo More → 930 (#228) HCA +179 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +178 elo More → 961 (#222) HCA +178 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -1.9 (#177) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → -1.8 (#177) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.343 (#190) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.462 (#171) AdjNet +4.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.2 More → 0.452 (#178) AdjNet +3.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.436 (#194) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.8 More → 0.458 (#183) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.424 (#192) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.428 (#191) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 217 | GP 1 More → 924 (#224) RD 217 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.349 (#214) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 vs Park University Gilbert Buccaneers W 85 - 32
2026-11-07 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 62 - 64
2026-11-14 vs Nevada Wolf Pack - Preview
2026-11-20 @ Utah Utes - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elizabeth Gentry Elizabeth Gentry C 2 27.5 16.0 8.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 10.5 17.0 38 2 19.0 27.5 52.4 25.0 90.0 2.17 63.0 54.8
Tabi Clark Tabi Clark G 2 22.0 10.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 11.0 5.0 29 2 14.5 26.6 36.4 36.4 50.0 1.77 45.9 45.5
Cambree Blackham Cambree Blackham G 2 30.5 9.0 3.5 7.0 3.5 0.0 4.0 4.5 14.5 44 2 22.0 29.0 66.7 33.3 83.3 3.53 77.3 72.2
Naia Tanuvasa Naia Tanuvasa G 2 25.5 8.5 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 6.5 9.5 42 2 21.0 33.4 46.2 25.0 75.0 2.2 57.6 53.8
Lauren Crocker Lauren Crocker F 2 21.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 7.0 33 2 16.5 31.4 38.9 100.0 50.0 0.57 42.4 41.7
Anna Shreeve Anna Shreeve G 2 17.0 6.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 6.0 3.5 44 2 22.0 52.1 41.7 0.0 60.0 2.17 45.8 41.7
Gabi Moultrie Gabi Moultrie G 1 9.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 0.0 11 1 11.0 46.6 20.0 28.6 0 0.19 30.0 30.0
Kendra Kitchen Kendra Kitchen F 2 10.0 4.0 2.5 0.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 3.0 5.5 10 2 5.0 19.1 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.67 51.5 50.0
Olivia Stephens Olivia Stephens G 2 10.5 4.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.5 2 2 1.0 3.8 40.0 50.0 75.0 -2.09 59.2 50.0
Gracie Johnson Gracie Johnson F 2 7.5 2.5 6.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - - 10.0 0.0 75.0 - 21.3 10.0
Maren McKenna Maren McKenna G 2 19.0 1.5 6.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 -11 2 -5.5 -11.7 8.3 0.0 50.0 -3.47 11.6 8.3
Evie Leeson Evie Leeson F 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7 1 7.0 52.3 0.0 0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0
Heather Stedman Heather Stedman G 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 6 1 6.0 69.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.07 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

141 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Gentry36% Blackham18% Shreeve100% Shreeve50% Gentry67% Clark40% Crocker50% Gentry33% Tanuvasa50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Johnson38% Crocker28% Shreeve20% Clark50% Gentry38% Moultrie31% Tanuvasa50% Tanuvasa22% Clark43% Gentry50%
Misses: who misses most here

Elizabeth GentryTabi ClarkLauren CrockerNaia TanuvasaCambree BlackhamAnna ShreeveGabi MoultrieGracie Johnson

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 11-19 57.9 22 Elizabeth Gentry 36% (8 pts) Lauren Crocker 27% (6 pts) Gracie Johnson 38% (3 misses) Elizabeth Gentry 12% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 22-51 43.1 44 Cambree Blackham 18% (8 pts) Elizabeth Gentry 14% (6 pts) Lauren Crocker 28% (8 misses) Gracie Johnson 17% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 2-7 28.6 4 Anna Shreeve 100% (4 pts) - Anna Shreeve 20% (1 misses) Cambree Blackham 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-6 33.3 4 Anna Shreeve 50% (2 pts) Elizabeth Gentry 50% (2 pts) Tabi Clark 50% (2 misses) Lauren Crocker 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 3-11 27.3 6 Elizabeth Gentry 67% (4 pts) Tabi Clark 33% (2 pts) Elizabeth Gentry 38% (3 misses) Tabi Clark 25% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 5-18 27.8 15 Tabi Clark 40% (6 pts) Cambree Blackham 20% (3 pts) Gabi Moultrie 31% (4 misses) Anna Shreeve 15% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 2-6 33.3 6 Lauren Crocker 50% (3 pts) Tabi Clark 50% (3 pts) Naia Tanuvasa 50% (2 misses) Kendra Kitchen 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 3-12 25.0 9 Elizabeth Gentry 33% (3 pts) Gabi Moultrie 33% (3 pts) Naia Tanuvasa 22% (2 misses) Tabi Clark 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-7 0.0 0 - - Tabi Clark 43% (3 misses) Naia Tanuvasa 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-4 50.0 6 Naia Tanuvasa 50% (3 pts) Tabi Clark 50% (3 pts) Elizabeth Gentry 50% (1 misses) Olivia Stephens 50% (1 misses)