Utah Tech
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 771 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 726 (#278) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 893 (#249) | HCA +52 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.6 (#263) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.2 (#273) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.096 (#270) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.091 (#275) | AdjNet -20.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.091 (#273) | AdjNet -19.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.234 (#275) | AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.293 (#274) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.188 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.198 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 712 (#277) | RD 173 | GP 20 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2016-2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2016-11-13 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 46 - 60 |
| 2016-11-18 | @ | Sonoma St. | L | 58 - 82 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | Chico St. | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2016-11-21 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2016-11-25 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | CUI | L | 78 - 89 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 59 - 87 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | Notre Dame de Namur | L | 82 - 88 |
| 2016-12-19 | vs | Point Loma | L | 62 - 83 |
| 2017-01-03 | @ | Fresno Pacific | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2017-01-05 | @ | Academy of Art | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Notre Dame de Namur | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Point Loma | L | 47 - 80 |
| 2017-01-16 | @ | CUI | L | 56 - 77 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Azusa Pacific | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2017-02-02 | vs | BYU-Hawaii | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Chaminade | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2017-02-16 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | BYU-Hawaii | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2017-02-20 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | Holy Names | W | 79 - 65 |
2016-2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.