๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Utah Tech Trailblazers

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

100.0
PPG
57.7
Opp
+42.3
Margin
45.3%
FG%
29.6%
3P%
61.8%
FT%
46.0
RPG
18.3
APG
10.3
TO
83.4
Est. poss./game
58.2
Adj PPG
68.9
Adj Opp PPG
#331
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 729 (returning production + recruiting): last season 919, returning -99, transfers -91, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 720 (#330) Preseason prior 729 (returning production + recruiting): last season 919, returning -99, transfers -91, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 782 (#345) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 786 (#345) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -13.3 (#294) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -13.3 (#294) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.069 (#305) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.228 (#294) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.228 (#293) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 68.9 More โ†’ 0.209 (#331) AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 68.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 68.9 More โ†’ 0.212 (#331) AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 68.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.191 (#327) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.191 (#327) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 779 (#337) RD 218 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.136 (#335) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Life Pacific Warriors W 107 - 39
2026-11-06 vs California Baptist Lancers L 60 - 87
2026-11-11 vs Nelson American Indian Warriors W 133 - 47
2026-11-15 @ Boise State Broncos - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Preview
2026-11-20 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Savannah Stoker Savannah Stoker F 3 24.0 20.0 6.7 3.3 4.0 1.7 1.7 15.3 18.7 91 3 30.3 50.8 58.7 23.1 60.0 3.51 62.2 62.0
Sophia Zufelt Sophia Zufelt G 3 24.3 15.0 7.0 2.3 2.7 0.0 1.0 7.7 18.3 79 3 26.3 43.4 60.9 45.5 63.2 4.93 71.7 71.7
Alyssa Bowen Alyssa Bowen G 3 26.0 13.0 4.7 1.0 1.7 0.7 1.0 13.0 7.0 58 3 19.3 29.6 35.9 31.8 50.0 1.44 45.9 44.9
Aubrey Cook Aubrey Cook C 1 22.0 13.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 7.0 20.0 30 1 30.0 54.2 85.7 0 50.0 -1.09 82.5 85.7
Ava Smith Ava Smith G 3 24.7 10.7 4.7 4.7 1.0 0.3 1.7 11.0 8.7 67 3 22.3 36.6 36.4 25.0 80.0 -1.63 45.5 42.4
Maia Rhay Maia Rhay ATH 2 18.5 10.5 0.5 2.5 6.5 1.5 1.0 9.5 11.0 35 2 17.5 36.9 47.4 33.3 66.7 -0.08 51.7 50.0
Kendall Dykstra Kendall Dykstra G 3 25.3 9.7 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.7 9.0 7.0 65 3 21.7 33.7 40.7 30.0 100.0 2.01 50.4 46.3
Calyn Wood Calyn Wood G 2 18.0 7.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 1.5 8.5 3.5 51 2 25.5 57.4 29.4 28.6 0 -0.3 41.2 41.2
Gabby Gomez Gabby Gomez G 3 11.3 5.3 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 6.0 2.7 45 3 15.0 52.5 33.3 25.0 50.0 -0.43 42.4 41.7
Maci Hess Maci Hess F 3 17.7 5.3 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.7 2.7 84 3 28.0 64.1 41.2 16.7 100.0 1.58 45.9 44.1
Ellie Taylor Ellie Taylor G 1 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 18 1 18.0 99.1 33.3 100.0 100.0 0.54 64.4 50.0
Eva Woodward Eva Woodward C 2 19.0 5.0 7.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 4.5 10.5 12 2 6.0 12.9 55.6 0 0.0 -1.88 46.5 55.6
Ella Seymore Ella Seymore G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kyara Vargas Kyara Vargas F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

258 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Stoker33% Stoker21% Stoker50% Bowen50% Wood50% Hess50% Bowen31% Dykstra50% Bowen33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Stoker24% Smith23% Hess43% Dykstra100% Bowen20% Wood42% Smith43% Bowen28% Stoker33% Smith22%
Misses: who misses most here

Savannah StokerAlyssa BowenAva SmithKendall DykstraMaci HessCalyn Wood

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 39-56 69.6 78 Savannah Stoker 33% (26 pts) Kendall Dykstra 18% (14 pts) Savannah Stoker 24% (4 misses) Gabby Gomez 12% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 38-73 52.1 76 Savannah Stoker 21% (16 pts) Sophia Zufelt 18% (14 pts) Ava Smith 23% (8 misses) Alyssa Bowen 20% (7 misses)
Mid-range left 6-13 46.2 12 Savannah Stoker 50% (6 pts) Maci Hess 33% (4 pts) Maci Hess 43% (3 misses) Kendall Dykstra 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Kendall Dykstra 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 2-7 28.6 4 Alyssa Bowen 50% (2 pts) Ava Smith 50% (2 pts) Alyssa Bowen 20% (1 misses) Kendall Dykstra 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 6-18 33.3 18 Calyn Wood 50% (9 pts) Gabby Gomez 33% (6 pts) Calyn Wood 42% (5 misses) Alyssa Bowen 25% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 2-9 22.2 6 Maci Hess 50% (3 pts) Sophia Zufelt 50% (3 pts) Ava Smith 43% (3 misses) Gabby Gomez 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 16-41 39.0 48 Alyssa Bowen 31% (15 pts) Sophia Zufelt 19% (9 pts) Alyssa Bowen 28% (7 misses) Ava Smith 12% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-11 18.2 6 Kendall Dykstra 50% (3 pts) Sophia Zufelt 50% (3 pts) Savannah Stoker 33% (3 misses) Maci Hess 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 6-29 20.7 18 Alyssa Bowen 33% (6 pts) Ava Smith 17% (3 pts) Ava Smith 22% (5 misses) Alyssa Bowen 17% (4 misses)