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Utah State

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Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History
Coach: Stew Morrill

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1440 (#87) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +30.8 (#97) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.761 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.701 (#37) AdjNet +7.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.5 More → 0.704 (#37) AdjNet +7.5

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-25 @ Weber State W 66 - 60
2003-11-29 vs Illinois State W 89 - 84
2003-12-03 @ Utah L 45 - 56
2003-12-13 @ Idaho State W 73 - 62
2003-12-18 vs Jackson State W 67 - 42
2003-12-23 vs Brigham Young W 76 - 74
2003-12-29 vs San Francisco W 74 - 48
2003-12-30 vs New Mexico State W 73 - 57
2004-01-03 vs Idaho W 69 - 56
2004-01-08 @ UC Santa Barbara W 74 - 67
2004-01-10 @ Cal Poly W 69 - 63
2004-01-15 vs Pacific W 66 - 51
2004-01-17 vs Cal State Northridge W 83 - 57
2004-01-22 @ Cal State Fullerton W 57 - 49
2004-01-24 @ UC Riverside W 62 - 58
2004-01-29 vs UC Irvine W 57 - 48
2004-01-31 vs Long Beach State W 84 - 46
2004-02-05 vs Cal Poly W 57 - 43
2004-02-07 vs UC Santa Barbara W 63 - 54
2004-02-12 @ Cal State Northridge W 69 - 47
2004-02-14 @ Pacific L 60 - 64
2004-02-19 vs UC Riverside W 77 - 72
2004-02-21 vs Cal State Fullerton W 87 - 61
2004-02-26 @ Long Beach State W 67 - 47
2004-02-28 @ UC Irvine W 59 - 56
2004-03-05 @ Idaho W 64 - 60
2004-03-12 N Cal State Northridge L 62 - 63
2004-03-17 vs Hawaii L 74 - 85

2004 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cardell Butler G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Nate Harris F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Spencer Nelson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mark Brown G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mike Ahmad C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jason Williams F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Chris Huber G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
John Neil F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Quenton Harvey G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ian McVey C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Chad Evans F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tyler Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Calvin Brown G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG