Utah State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1129 (#93) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1148 (#64) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1046 (#91) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.6 (#66) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.7 (#74) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.793 (#30) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.816 (#64) | AdjNet +12.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.819 (#64) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.690 (#67) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.627 (#67) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.703 (#68) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.691 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1160 (#56) | RD 118 | GP 27 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-26 | @ | Boise State | L | 68 - 81 |
| 1994-12-01 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 83 - 59 |
| 1994-12-17 | N | Southern Utah | W | 76 - 63 |
| 1994-12-23 | vs | Utah | L | 71 - 75 |
| 1994-12-29 | vs | Idaho State | W | 67 - 62 |
| 1995-01-02 | vs | Boise State | W | 66 - 61 |
| 1995-01-05 | @ | San Jose State | W | 71 - 62 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Pacific | W | 58 - 57 |
| 1995-01-11 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 75 - 56 |
| 1995-01-14 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 84 - 73 |
| 1995-01-16 | @ | UC Irvine | W | 93 - 87 |
| 1995-01-19 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 87 - 67 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 63 - 69 |
| 1995-01-28 | vs | Nevada | W | 73 - 57 |
| 1995-02-02 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | W | 64 - 56 |
| 1995-02-04 | @ | Long Beach State | L | 50 - 62 |
| 1995-02-09 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 94 - 67 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 103 - 71 |
| 1995-02-13 | vs | New Mexico State | L | 100 - 104 |
| 1995-02-16 | @ | Nevada–Las Vegas | W | 76 - 72 |
| 1995-02-18 | @ | New Mexico State | W | 75 - 63 |
| 1995-02-21 | vs | Cal Poly | W | 106 - 53 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Nevada | L | 75 - 90 |
| 1995-03-02 | vs | San Jose State | W | 89 - 69 |
| 1995-03-04 | vs | Pacific | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1995-03-10 | N | UC Irvine | L | 72 - 76 |
| 1995-03-16 | vs | Illinois State | L | 87 - 93 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.