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Utah State

Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History

Model Outputs

1991-1992
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1018 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1080 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1012 (#143) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More → +4.1 (#108) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → +2.5 (#121) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.500 (#159) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.4 More → 0.675 (#101) AdjNet +6.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.4 More → 0.677 (#101) AdjNet +6.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.584 (#111) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.513 (#146) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 73.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.586 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.573 (#120) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 26 More → 1080 (#99) RD 135 | GP 26

1992 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1991-11-26 vs Brigham Young L 66 - 82
1991-12-03 vs Utah L 62 - 71
1991-12-07 @ Weber State W 92 - 78
1991-12-10 @ Utah W 74 - 72
1991-12-13 @ Brigham Young L 77 - 93
1991-12-30 vs Weber State W 84 - 72
1992-01-04 @ Fresno State W 88 - 83
1992-01-09 vs UC Irvine W 81 - 63
1992-01-11 vs Cal State Fullerton W 89 - 72
1992-01-13 vs Rutgers W 78 - 70
1992-01-16 @ UC Santa Barbara L 72 - 74
1992-01-18 @ Long Beach State L 72 - 87
1992-01-23 vs San Jose State W 80 - 63
1992-01-25 vs Pacific W 67 - 60
1992-01-30 vs Nevada–Las Vegas L 80 - 85
1992-02-06 @ Cal State Fullerton L 99 - 111
1992-02-08 @ UC Irvine L 75 - 80
1992-02-10 @ New Mexico State L 69 - 75
1992-02-13 vs Long Beach State W 76 - 75
1992-02-15 vs UC Santa Barbara W 70 - 54
1992-02-20 @ Pacific L 64 - 86
1992-02-22 @ San Jose State W 84 - 79
1992-02-29 vs New Mexico State W 85 - 78
1992-03-03 @ Nevada–Las Vegas L 53 - 65
1992-03-07 vs Fresno State W 70 - 62
1992-03-13 N Pacific L 69 - 86

1992 Roster

No roster data available for this season.