Utah State
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 929 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 958 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#214) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#146) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.1 (#170) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.389 (#196) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.540 (#136) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.542 (#135) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.495 (#149) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 82.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.443 (#191) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.456 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.446 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 956 (#182) | RD 131 | GP 28 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-24 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 94 - 98 |
| 1990-12-01 | vs | Brigham Young | L | 58 - 63 |
| 1990-12-04 | @ | Utah | L | 76 - 84 |
| 1990-12-08 | @ | Boise State | L | 77 - 89 |
| 1990-12-13 | vs | Weber State | W | 77 - 62 |
| 1990-12-19 | @ | Weber State | W | 82 - 72 |
| 1990-12-21 | N | Air Force | W | 64 - 63 |
| 1990-12-22 | @ | San Francisco | L | 79 - 87 |
| 1990-12-29 | vs | Utah | L | 63 - 74 |
| 1991-01-02 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 111 - 88 |
| 1991-01-04 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 81 - 75 |
| 1991-01-07 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | L | 91 - 93 |
| 1991-01-09 | @ | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 93 - 124 |
| 1991-01-17 | vs | Pacific | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1991-01-19 | vs | Fresno State | W | 91 - 69 |
| 1991-01-24 | @ | Long Beach State | L | 78 - 89 |
| 1991-01-26 | @ | New Mexico State | L | 66 - 86 |
| 1991-01-28 | vs | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 83 - 126 |
| 1991-01-31 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 74 - 63 |
| 1991-02-02 | vs | San Jose State | W | 88 - 71 |
| 1991-02-09 | @ | San Jose State | W | 69 - 62 |
| 1991-02-14 | @ | Fresno State | L | 86 - 107 |
| 1991-02-16 | @ | Pacific | L | 92 - 100 |
| 1991-02-21 | vs | New Mexico State | L | 75 - 83 |
| 1991-02-23 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 90 - 89 |
| 1991-02-28 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 82 - 98 |
| 1991-03-02 | @ | UC Irvine | L | 107 - 109 |
| 1991-03-08 | N | UC Santa Barbara | L | 76 - 80 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.