Ursuline
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 786 (#366) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 712 (#368) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.6 (#236) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.362 (#420) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.167 (#319) | NetEff -12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.472 (#418) | AdjNet -1.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.486 (#416) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.495 (#412) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 64.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Quincy | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Truman St. | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | Fairmont St. | L | 54 - 86 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Glenville St. | L | 57 - 85 |
| 2024-11-24 | @ | Saginaw Valley | L | 59 - 81 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Wheeling | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Thomas More | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2024-12-12 | @ | Walsh | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Interamericana (P.R.) | W | 88 - 38 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Malone | L | 30 - 54 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Ashland | L | 48 - 87 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Cedarville | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Findlay | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Tiffin | W | 83 - 68 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Ashland | L | 36 - 81 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 90 - 54 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Tiffin | W | 71 - 46 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Findlay | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Walsh | W | 52 - 46 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Thomas More | L | 42 - 52 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 59 - 55 |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Northwood | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Northwood | L | 52 - 76 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Stopp | - | 28 | 31.9 | 12.8 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 10.7 | 9.5 | -43 | -1.5 | -1.6 | 47.8 | 16.7 | 69.3 | -0.12 | 52.1 | 48.2 |
| Madyson Stottsberry | - | 26 | 29.6 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 9.9 | 6.0 | -28 | -1.1 | -1.2 | 39.7 | 26.9 | 70.0 | 0.08 | 46.1 | 43.2 |
| Sophia Kline | - | 28 | 25.1 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 12.6 | -9 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 52.6 | 25.0 | 71.8 | 0.15 | 57.4 | 53.1 |
| Kamryn Dziak | - | 28 | 27.4 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 8.4 | 2.8 | -33 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 38.7 | 34.1 | 82.1 | -0.04 | 53.2 | 51.1 |
| Ajia Schreffler | - | 28 | 22.5 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | -76 | -2.0 | -2.5 | 51.2 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.32 | 53.8 | 51.2 |
| Sam Stask | - | 20 | 15.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 1.2 | -17 | -0.9 | -1.9 | 39.2 | 35.4 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Leah Mencer | - | 28 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | -12 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 33.7 | 23.4 | 58.6 | 0.01 | 43.9 | 40.4 |
| Dominique Evans | - | 28 | 17.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.9 | -39 | -1.4 | -2.4 | 35.1 | 29.4 | 73.3 | -0.27 | 45.3 | 38.5 |
| Brooke Haren | - | 28 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | -51 | -1.5 | -2.7 | 37.5 | 18.8 | 70.0 | -0.13 | 43.9 | 39.6 |
| Kailey Minch | - | 20 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.2 | -28 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 26.5 | 29.3 | 83.3 | 0.06 | 41.6 | 38.8 |
| Kyla Fitzgerald | - | 14 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Mallory Hawley | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Randall | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG