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Union (TN)

Also known as: Union (TN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1070 (#107) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1120 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1091 (#80) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +20.4 (#19) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +22.7 (#72) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.956 (#150) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.8 More → 0.915 (#128) NetEff +18.8
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -34.8 More → 0.007 (#458) NetEff -34.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.9 More → 0.986 (#81) AdjNet +36.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.1 More → 0.988 (#81) AdjNet +37.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.1 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.927 (#58) AdjO 91.1 | AdjD 63.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.837 (#15) AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.857 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.853 (#48) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 23 More → 1111 (#101) RD 104 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Gannon L 51 - 66
2025-11-08 vs Ferris St. W 73 - 70
2025-11-09 @ Minnesota St. L 94 - 112
2025-11-14 @ Kentucky St. W 99 - 66
2025-11-18 vs Miles W 95 - 77
2025-11-21 vs Williams Baptist W 100 - 65
2025-11-24 vs Ashland L 71 - 77
2025-12-04 @ Delta St. L 62 - 67
2025-12-06 @ Mississippi Col. W 113 - 72
2025-12-13 vs Christian Brothers W 107 - 45
2025-12-15 vs Drury W 98 - 75
2025-12-20 vs Montevallo W 82 - 53
2026-01-02 @ UAH L 84 - 88
2026-01-10 vs West Florida W 113 - 67
2026-01-15 @ Lee L 66 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Trevecca Nazarene L 61 - 70
2026-01-22 vs Mississippi Col. W 84 - 53
2026-02-02 @ Christian Brothers W 84 - 41
2026-02-05 @ Montevallo W 83 - 60
2026-02-07 @ AUM W 84 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Olivia Lee - 20 26.2 15.9 5.9 3.1 1.9 0.3 2.1 14.1 11.1 246 10.7 40.7 40.6 30.5 82.7 3.94 50.8 45.7
Courtney Zensen - 18 24.7 11.1 3.4 1.9 1.9 0.4 1.7 8.4 8.8 78 3.7 16.8 43.4 41.7 81.8 -1.56 61.9 59.9
Abigail Bryan - 20 19.1 9.3 2.9 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.9 8.1 5.8 135 5.9 29.6 40.1 35.1 84.2 2.33 54.6 52.5
Nora Saffell - 20 19.9 8.0 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.6 5.8 5.8 71 3.1 13.1 57.4 23.5 75.0 -1.51 62.0 59.1
Katie Yoder - 20 19.9 7.6 2.6 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.8 5.1 6.7 62 2.6 12.8 53.9 41.7 75.9 0.24 66.2 63.7
Kynidi Mason Striverson - 9 18.6 7.6 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.1 8.3 1.9 -1 -0.1 -0.3 29.3 30.4 70.0 0.89 42.8 40.7
Morgan Escobedo - 19 22.8 6.9 3.6 4.0 2.5 0.1 1.2 5.8 10.2 171 7.8 27.5 44.1 31.0 91.3 2.66 54.5 50.0
Aryn Roberts - 17 17.1 6.8 4.5 3.0 1.8 0.5 1.8 5.4 9.2 121 6.0 55.2 45.7 26.7 64.3 1.46 52.0 47.8
Aubrey Sorrells - 18 16.8 6.6 2.2 0.8 1.3 0.3 1.2 6.2 3.7 59 2.8 15.8 43.8 16.0 69.6 -0.2 48.3 45.5
La'Sonja Hill - 19 16.0 6.5 2.2 1.3 1.3 0.1 1.6 6.9 2.9 39 1.8 11.7 30.3 21.5 90.9 -2.78 42.3 35.6
Maddie Gray - 14 8.8 4.8 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 3.8 3.5 73 4.3 70.0 43.4 34.1 87.5 1.73 59.3 56.6
Macy Smith - 20 10.0 2.5 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.0 1.6 3.4 1.1 58 2.5 21.1 29.9 19.4 100.0 -0.44 37.1 35.1
Grace Abram - 7 3.4 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 4 0.6 11.3 25.0 50.0 50.0 0.48 43.4 37.5
Annie Buisson - 14 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 -0.1 21 1.2 51.6 18.2 12.5 66.7 -1.82 28.4 22.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG