Union (TN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1070 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1120 (#74) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1091 (#80) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +20.4 (#19) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.7 (#72) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.956 (#150) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.915 (#128) | NetEff +18.8 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.007 (#458) | NetEff -34.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.986 (#81) | AdjNet +36.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.988 (#81) | AdjNet +37.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.927 (#58) | AdjO 91.1 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.837 (#15) | AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.857 (#54) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.853 (#48) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1111 (#101) | RD 104 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Gannon | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 94 - 112 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Kentucky St. | W | 99 - 66 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Miles | W | 95 - 77 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Williams Baptist | W | 100 - 65 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Ashland | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Delta St. | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 113 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 107 - 45 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Drury | W | 98 - 75 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Montevallo | W | 82 - 53 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | UAH | L | 84 - 88 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | West Florida | W | 113 - 67 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Lee | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 84 - 53 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 84 - 41 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Montevallo | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | AUM | W | 84 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lee | - | 20 | 26.2 | 15.9 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 14.1 | 11.1 | 246 | 10.7 | 40.7 | 40.6 | 30.5 | 82.7 | 3.94 | 50.8 | 45.7 |
| Courtney Zensen | - | 18 | 24.7 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 8.8 | 78 | 3.7 | 16.8 | 43.4 | 41.7 | 81.8 | -1.56 | 61.9 | 59.9 |
| Abigail Bryan | - | 20 | 19.1 | 9.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 5.8 | 135 | 5.9 | 29.6 | 40.1 | 35.1 | 84.2 | 2.33 | 54.6 | 52.5 |
| Nora Saffell | - | 20 | 19.9 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 71 | 3.1 | 13.1 | 57.4 | 23.5 | 75.0 | -1.51 | 62.0 | 59.1 |
| Katie Yoder | - | 20 | 19.9 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.1 | 6.7 | 62 | 2.6 | 12.8 | 53.9 | 41.7 | 75.9 | 0.24 | 66.2 | 63.7 |
| Kynidi Mason Striverson | - | 9 | 18.6 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 1.9 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 29.3 | 30.4 | 70.0 | 0.89 | 42.8 | 40.7 |
| Morgan Escobedo | - | 19 | 22.8 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 10.2 | 171 | 7.8 | 27.5 | 44.1 | 31.0 | 91.3 | 2.66 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Aryn Roberts | - | 17 | 17.1 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 121 | 6.0 | 55.2 | 45.7 | 26.7 | 64.3 | 1.46 | 52.0 | 47.8 |
| Aubrey Sorrells | - | 18 | 16.8 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 59 | 2.8 | 15.8 | 43.8 | 16.0 | 69.6 | -0.2 | 48.3 | 45.5 |
| La'Sonja Hill | - | 19 | 16.0 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 39 | 1.8 | 11.7 | 30.3 | 21.5 | 90.9 | -2.78 | 42.3 | 35.6 |
| Maddie Gray | - | 14 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 73 | 4.3 | 70.0 | 43.4 | 34.1 | 87.5 | 1.73 | 59.3 | 56.6 |
| Macy Smith | - | 20 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 58 | 2.5 | 21.1 | 29.9 | 19.4 | 100.0 | -0.44 | 37.1 | 35.1 |
| Grace Abram | - | 7 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.6 | 11.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.48 | 43.4 | 37.5 |
| Annie Buisson | - | 14 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 21 | 1.2 | 51.6 | 18.2 | 12.5 | 66.7 | -1.82 | 28.4 | 22.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG