Union (TN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 952 (#313) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 956 (#326) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 899 (#532) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#196) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.5 (#431) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.425 (#380) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.980 (#120) | NetEff +36.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.652 (#328) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.657 (#332) | AdjNet +5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.604 (#328) | AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.377 (#476) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.344 (#435) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.339 (#439) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 872 (#389) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lynn | W | 96 - 93 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Rollins | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | King (TN) | W | 89 - 73 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Tiffin | L | 52 - 101 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Fisk | W | 99 - 90 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Delta St. | W | 84 - 78 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mississippi Col. | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Blue Mountain (MS) | W | 92 - 60 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | AUM | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Montevallo | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | UAH | L | 54 - 80 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | West Ala. | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Valdosta St. | L | 101 - 103 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | West Florida | L | 72 - 86 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Lee | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Christian Brothers | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Montevallo | L | 63 - 97 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | AUM | W | 71 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Ringo, Jr. | - | 21 | 31.0 | 18.5 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 115 | 5.2 | 45.9 | 58.6 | 18.2 | 74.3 | 4.15 | 62.7 | 58.9 |
| Will Lovings-Watts | - | 19 | 28.4 | 16.1 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 11.5 | -5 | -0.3 | -6.7 | 43.1 | 34.3 | 75.0 | 0.1 | 56.0 | 48.6 |
| Jonah Nesmith | - | 1 | 18.4 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | -172 | -7.8 | -30.4 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.98 | 67.8 | 66.7 |
| Mason McBride | - | 21 | 26.0 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 6.9 | -59 | -2.8 | -28.3 | 47.2 | 29.6 | 90.0 | -1.97 | 57.1 | 52.2 |
| Jamiir Allen | - | 20 | 30.6 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 5.2 | -66 | -3.3 | -44.5 | 38.0 | 34.1 | 72.2 | -3.59 | 47.2 | 45.7 |
| Marquel Newsome | - | 1 | 13.7 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -77 | -4.8 | -53.0 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.94 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Demar Burton | - | 1 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -119 | -5.7 | -26.4 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 73.5 | 80.0 |
| Ethan Damerum | - | 1 | 14.4 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | -87 | -4.3 | -21.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -2.21 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| D'monyae Davis | - | 1 | 19.4 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -74 | -3.5 | -12.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 75.2 | 100.0 |
| Sam Youngblood | - | 21 | 25.1 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.4 | 3.7 | -29 | -1.4 | -11.9 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 68.4 | 0.11 | 50.9 | 49.3 |
| Devaki Garr | - | 21 | 18.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 3.3 | -28 | -1.3 | -15.4 | 37.2 | 35.6 | 87.5 | -2.13 | 55.8 | 53.1 |
| Caleb Jewell | - | 1 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 84 | 3.8 | 16.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Noah Smith | - | 1 | 18.6 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -135 | -6.8 | -46.2 | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | -2.03 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Casey Williams | - | 13 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 3.8 | -23 | -1.8 | -19.7 | 48.8 | 30.0 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 58.5 | 52.3 |
| Tavin Shaw | - | 1 | 13.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Avonte Wiggins | - | 1 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| JaDyn Lee | - | 20 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.7 | -50 | -2.5 | -306.1 | 48.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.1 | 49.4 | 48.4 |
| Noah Trevino | - | 1 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Ryan Lewis | - | 21 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.0 | -17 | -0.7 | -11.2 | 35.4 | 15.8 | 65.5 | -0.26 | 46.1 | 38.5 |
| Jack Shackelford | - | 21 | 16.3 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 3.4 | -38 | -1.8 | -17.0 | 37.3 | 29.2 | 66.7 | 0.73 | 46.4 | 44.1 |
| Caleb Bates | - | 1 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -47 | -5.9 | -366.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.43 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Michael Lucarotti | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -129 | -5.9 | -22.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.48 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ty Clark | - | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Knoah Carver | - | 6 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | -29 | -4.8 | -176.2 | 18.8 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -0.5 | 26.7 | 21.9 |
| Liam McConnell | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick McConnell | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG