Union (NY)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1159 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1197 (#38) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1167 (#36) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#77) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.8 (#302) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.636 (#374) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.422 (#387) | AdjNet -2.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.412 (#389) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.449 (#392) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.655 (#142) | AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.671 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.683 (#219) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1232 (#41) | RD 111 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | SUNY Poly | W | 84 - 55 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Oswego St. | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Middlebury | L | 72 - 73 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Manhattanville | W | 88 - 66 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 56 - 97 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Clarkson | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Stevens | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | RIT | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Rensselaer | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ithaca | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | RIT | W | 94 - 90 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Bard | W | 89 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Vassar | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Hobart | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Skidmore | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Ithaca | W | 86 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Rensselaer | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Skidmore | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hobart | W | 75 - 68 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Plesser | - | 21 | 30.9 | 22.7 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 15.1 | 17.1 | 53 | 2.6 | 27.4 | 55.7 | 47.4 | 79.2 | 0.46 | 62.5 | 57.1 |
| Tanner Tedesco | - | 21 | 35.0 | 15.2 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 59 | 3.0 | 24.6 | 44.5 | 42.6 | 86.5 | 4.23 | 56.9 | 54.3 |
| Matthew Garside | - | 21 | 30.1 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 25 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 42.8 | 38.0 | 75.6 | 2.05 | 58.2 | 55.4 |
| Christian Dufort | - | 21 | 31.1 | 10.9 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 8.2 | 11.7 | - | - | - | 49.4 | 39.3 | 81.2 | - | 61.5 | 59.0 |
| Scott Schmitt | - | 17 | 10.5 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -3.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 55.9 | 1.83 | 60.9 | 60.0 |
| Pat Cullinan | - | 20 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 47 | 2.9 | 50.9 | 50.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.45 | 55.0 | 54.7 |
| Neil Daterao | - | 17 | 17.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 59 | 3.9 | 90.8 | 52.3 | 35.7 | 62.5 | 2.11 | 58.9 | 58.0 |
| Harrison Collins | - | 21 | 15.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 48 | 2.4 | 24.1 | 36.2 | 33.3 | 78.6 | 0.21 | 47.5 | 43.1 |
| Trace Moffitt | - | 12 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 36 | 3.3 | 72.7 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.23 | 68.9 | 66.7 |
| Will Yakoobian | - | 14 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | -10 | -0.7 | -8.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 55.6 | -0.14 | 59.7 | 59.1 |
| Cade Furse | - | 16 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 9 | 0.6 | 11.3 | 28.1 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.72 | 36.0 | 32.8 |
| Jaden Jauregui | - | 14 | 9.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 44 | 3.4 | 72.3 | 38.1 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 0.61 | 45.3 | 40.5 |
| Kidder Lindley | - | 9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | -6 | -0.7 | -44.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Aren Cummings | - | 8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.7 | -36.7 | 11.1 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.07 | 17.2 | 11.1 |
| Sam O'Toole | - | 9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.2 | -9 | -1.0 | -66.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Cam Perez | - | 8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -6 | -0.8 | -90.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.12 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Aidan Duffy | - | 4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -43 | -10.8 | -973.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG