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UW-River Falls

Also known as: UW-River Falls
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1037 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1065 (#146) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +18.7 (#30) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.591 (#411) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.4 More → 0.580 (#206) NetEff +2.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.6 More → 0.951 (#166) AdjNet +25.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.9 More → 0.954 (#167) AdjNet +25.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 53.1 More → 0.791 (#184) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 53.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Hamline W 65 - 58
2024-11-10 @ Saint Benedict W 64 - 53
2024-11-16 @ St. Catherine L 53 - 64
2024-11-20 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 44 - 56
2024-11-23 @ Augsburg W 67 - 48
2024-11-26 vs Concordia-M'head W 72 - 54
2024-11-30 @ Hope L 53 - 72
2024-12-07 vs North Central (MN) W 74 - 31
2024-12-12 @ Bethany Lutheran W 77 - 65
2024-12-29 @ Loras W 65 - 57
2024-12-30 @ Dubuque W 61 - 51
2025-01-04 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 50 - 57
2025-01-08 @ Wis.-Stout L 48 - 73
2025-01-11 vs Wis.-Eau Claire W 65 - 57
2025-01-15 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 53 - 58
2025-01-18 @ Wis.-Platteville W 72 - 61
2025-01-22 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 59 - 64
2025-01-25 vs Wis.-Oshkosh W 64 - 59
2025-01-29 @ Wis.-Eau Claire L 56 - 60
2025-02-05 vs Wis.-Stevens Point W 66 - 61
2025-02-08 @ Wis.-Oshkosh L 34 - 70
2025-02-12 vs Wis.-Stout W 66 - 58
2025-02-15 vs Wis.-Whitewater L 46 - 66
2025-02-19 @ Wis.-La Crosse L 56 - 62
2025-02-22 vs Wis.-Platteville W 63 - 58
2025-02-25 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 52 - 66

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Olivia Hoerl - 26 30.6 14.9 6.6 0.7 1.2 0.7 1.6 14.3 8.1 - - - 39.4 33.0 79.2 0.39 47.6 43.7
Zoey Buchan - 26 30.3 13.6 3.8 1.6 1.5 0.1 1.6 10.6 8.4 76 2.0 2.1 42.4 40.6 82.5 0.57 56.9 52.2
Karleigh Creasey - 26 25.6 6.4 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.1 2.7 6.4 1.9 - - - 32.3 31.0 76.6 0.42 44.2 38.9
Olivia Miron - 26 25.0 6.0 5.3 1.7 0.7 0.5 1.7 5.1 7.3 - - - 40.9 0.0 54.0 0.28 45.5 40.9
Mari Ryberg - 26 20.3 5.2 2.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.2 4.7 3.8 - - - 36.6 29.9 73.5 - 48.9 44.7
Averie Varsho - 19 13.8 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.9 2.9 1.9 - - - 33.9 26.8 66.7 0.19 45.9 43.8
Braelyn Beiler - 26 9.6 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 14 0.4 1.3 32.9 30.6 100.0 -0.15 44.0 42.4
Jocelyn Plonski - 24 6.7 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.6 32 1.0 2.1 54.5 0 39.1 0.35 52.7 54.5
Jaya Hatlestad - 26 11.2 2.0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.0 2.1 0.7 - - - 25.9 33.3 61.1 - 42.0 38.0
Paige Pearson - 26 12.6 1.8 2.8 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.5 - - - 34.0 31.6 50.0 - 42.8 40.4
Annamarie Aue - 18 3.8 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 58 2.2 6.7 40.0 57.1 50.0 -0.08 59.7 60.0
Sidney Schmit - 17 6.8 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.6 30 1.2 2.2 22.2 9.1 50.0 0.34 27.8 25.0
Emma Adleman - 26 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 - - - 23.1 23.1 100.0 - 44.0 34.6
Sierra LaBuwi - 26 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 14 1.6 8.7 60.0 50.0 50.0 0.15 68.0 70.0
Sydney Schmit - 6 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 30 1.2 2.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.34 33.3 33.3
Savannah Leopold - 26 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 54 2.6 5.7 8.3 0.0 66.7 0.57 20.5 8.3
Emily Kulstad - 13 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 8 0.7 3.0 33.3 0.0 0 0.01 33.3 33.3
Kinsey Gracey - 26 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 25.0 50.0 0.0 - 30.7 37.5
Brynn Bauer - 26 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.3 -12 -1.2 -3.1 12.5 14.3 0 -0.47 18.8 18.8
Jenna Ritzer - 26 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 16.7 33.3 0 - 25.0 25.0
Lyndsey Penegor - 24 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG