UVA Wise
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1068 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1130 (#59) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.4 (#157) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.287 (#448) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.421 (#243) | NetEff -2.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.501 (#405) | AdjNet +0.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.509 (#407) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.486 (#423) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 71.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Flagler | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Concord | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | King (TN) | W | 84 - 69 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Coker | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Catawba | W | 87 - 65 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Carson-Newman | L | 87 - 94 |
| 2024-12-08 | @ | ETSU | L | 42 - 72 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Newberry | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Radford | L | 54 - 96 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Wingate | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Limestone | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 76 - 108 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 79 - 93 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Tusculum | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Coker | L | 47 - 85 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Limestone | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Newberry | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 53 - 55 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Wingate | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Tusculum | W | 88 - 73 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Catawba | L | 56 - 69 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sable Burnside | - | 30 | 27.0 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 14.2 | 10.3 | -45 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 48.4 | 33.7 | 79.1 | -0.36 | 54.9 | 52.5 |
| Mackenzie Bremer | - | 1 | 38.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 18 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 57.1 | 0.32 | 62.1 | 61.1 |
| Ella Karst | - | 30 | 27.3 | 11.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.6 | 5.8 | -25 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 36.5 | 30.6 | 68.8 | -0.04 | 45.6 | 40.6 |
| Caroline Mullins | - | 30 | 23.0 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 7.1 | -12 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 46.1 | 36.4 | 83.6 | 0.35 | 53.9 | 48.7 |
| Katlin Burger | - | 28 | 18.4 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 5.7 | -10 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 49.3 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.16 | 53.3 | 49.3 |
| Makenzie Bremer | - | 28 | 18.8 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 18 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 44.6 | 26.1 | 64.7 | 0.32 | 51.5 | 46.8 |
| Alissa Cheek | - | 30 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 3.2 | -56 | -1.7 | -2.3 | 33.8 | 30.8 | 74.1 | -0.37 | 46.2 | 42.9 |
| Emilea Preece | - | 30 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 39.8 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 54.0 | 51.5 |
| Jalie Ruehling | - | 30 | 19.9 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 4.1 | -61 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 34.3 | 32.0 | 72.2 | -0.59 | 44.4 | 41.7 |
| Macie Ridge | - | 30 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | -54 | -1.9 | -2.8 | 34.0 | 25.6 | 59.4 | -0.5 | 42.8 | 39.2 |
| Madison Looney | - | 29 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 2.1 | -65 | -2.0 | -3.6 | 37.7 | 0.0 | 51.5 | -0.1 | 41.0 | 37.7 |
| Allyson Fleenor | - | 15 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 90.0 | 100.0 | 33.3 | - | 92.8 | 100.0 |
| Sadie Badgett | - | 28 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 58.2 | 54.2 |
| Brooklyn Frazier | - | 29 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.17 | 42.1 | 35.7 |
| Ines Latapia | - | 20 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 12.5 | 0 | - | 20.8 | 20.8 |
| Emma Helvey | - | 29 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tailor Nolley | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hailey Williams | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexis Warren | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG