UVA Wise
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#140) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1091 (#114) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1005 (#346) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.0 (#165) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.0 (#297) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.287 (#448) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.345 (#322) | NetEff -4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.501 (#405) | AdjNet +0.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.509 (#407) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.486 (#423) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.557 (#235) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.514 (#343) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.534 (#322) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1046 (#203) | RD 95 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | USC Beaufort | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Concord | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Liberty | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | High Point | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Glenville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Catawba | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Mars Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Mullins | - | 20 | 34.2 | 19.8 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 14.9 | 15.3 | 121 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 46.5 | 26.7 | 80.2 | 4.76 | 55.4 | 48.5 |
| Madison Looney | - | 20 | 22.8 | 12.4 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 7.4 | 61 | 2.5 | 16.3 | 52.7 | 25.0 | 68.2 | 1.45 | 55.0 | 52.9 |
| Alissa Cheek | - | 17 | 30.4 | 10.4 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 6.5 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 42.3 | 31.7 | 77.6 | -2.28 | 54.1 | 48.9 |
| Patricia Vyborny | - | 1 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 7 | 3.5 | 19.9 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.51 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Emilea Preece | - | 16 | 18.5 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 60 | 3.0 | 12.8 | 37.5 | 37.0 | 58.3 | 2.17 | 48.9 | 47.1 |
| Mia Nienaber | - | 20 | 27.5 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 86 | 3.9 | 15.8 | 34.2 | 31.3 | 71.7 | 2.02 | 49.9 | 43.4 |
| Jalie Ruehling | - | 20 | 30.6 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 68 | 2.8 | 13.1 | 35.8 | 27.3 | 71.4 | 1.87 | 48.9 | 43.7 |
| Shelby Higgins | - | 16 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 | -6 | -0.4 | -4.9 | 36.4 | 31.4 | 75.0 | 0.37 | 48.7 | 46.4 |
| Izzy Proffitt | - | 19 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 38.9 | 44.4 | 75.0 | -2.91 | 50.8 | 46.3 |
| Kyndra West | - | 17 | 14.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 30 | 1.6 | 19.8 | 47.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.38 | 53.0 | 52.8 |
| Katy Hoover | - | 7 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 23 | 2.9 | 45.7 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 2.38 | 53.9 | 53.6 |
| Abigail Jordan | - | 9 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 17 | 1.7 | 43.1 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 88.9 | 1.77 | 81.0 | 72.2 |
| Grace Vyborny | - | 11 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 27.3 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.93 | 27.4 | 27.3 |
| Jaci Neubert | - | 14 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.33 | 62.1 | 44.4 |
| Brooklyn Frazier | - | 6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 26 | 2.9 | 101.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 90.6 | 150.0 |
| Taylor Hawley | - | 9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 34 | 3.4 | 207.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 4.52 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG