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UVA Wise

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: UVA Wise
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1110 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1259 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1090 (#82) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +15.1 (#47) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +13.3 (#118) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.631 (#266) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +61.5 More → 0.999 (#31) NetEff +61.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.1 More → 0.782 (#244) AdjNet +11.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.7 More → 0.755 (#269) AdjNet +9.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.1 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.689 (#243) AdjO 82.1 | AdjD 73.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.706 (#67) AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.780 (#81) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.769 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 24 More → 1209 (#41) RD 96 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Lubbock Christian L 52 - 90
2025-11-02 @ Fla. Southern W 93 - 91
2025-11-15 @ Lees-McRae W 97 - 82
2025-11-16 @ King (TN) W 110 - 72
2025-11-19 vs Young Harris W 85 - 51
2025-11-24 vs Bluefield St. W 71 - 61
2025-11-29 vs Virginia-Lynchburg W 146 - 55
2025-12-03 vs Wingate W 82 - 73
2025-12-06 @ Newberry W 91 - 85
2025-12-10 vs Emory & Henry L 76 - 83
2025-12-13 vs Lenoir-Rhyne W 76 - 67
2025-12-17 @ Carson-Newman L 65 - 67
2025-12-21 @ Lander W 77 - 63
2026-01-03 @ Coker W 102 - 84
2026-01-07 @ Mars Hill W 81 - 77
2026-01-10 @ Catawba L 66 - 72
2026-01-14 vs Tusculum W 79 - 66
2026-01-17 vs Anderson (SC) W 73 - 67
2026-01-21 @ Lincoln Memorial L 81 - 83
2026-01-23 @ Wingate W 81 - 70
2026-01-28 vs Mars Hill W 81 - 65
2026-01-30 vs Newberry W 79 - 61
2026-02-04 vs Carson-Newman L 70 - 85
2026-02-07 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 80 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kam Roberts - 24 27.0 15.4 5.5 2.2 1.2 0.1 2.1 13.0 9.3 60 2.6 11.9 49.7 34.4 69.0 2.26 53.9 51.4
Yoro Diallo - 24 31.9 14.5 8.3 3.6 1.4 0.8 3.5 11.5 13.6 -45 -2.0 -7.7 48.2 30.6 58.2 1.34 53.8 51.6
Evan Ramsey - 24 24.7 13.1 7.2 1.2 0.5 1.7 1.1 8.4 14.2 47 1.9 9.9 58.2 25.0 78.2 2.63 64.2 58.7
Patrick Shelley - 24 25.9 9.7 3.1 1.8 1.3 0.5 1.2 7.7 7.5 -3 -0.1 -0.6 44.9 32.6 79.2 -1.18 56.3 52.4
Cy Hardy - 24 19.8 6.8 1.9 2.7 1.2 0.0 1.0 5.7 5.8 75 3.3 18.9 43.8 30.5 75.0 1.77 53.6 50.4
Anderson Cummins - 24 14.4 6.2 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.9 4.7 4.2 17 0.7 5.9 44.6 40.7 68.4 -0.06 57.5 54.5
Kolier Pruett - 24 18.7 5.2 3.7 1.5 1.0 0.7 1.0 4.9 6.1 46 1.9 11.7 41.5 29.3 57.1 3.92 51.2 50.8
Cole Caywood - 4 5.5 4.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 4.2 -20 -6.7 -209.6 72.7 0.0 75.0 -1.17 74.5 72.7
Calen Lightford - 24 13.8 3.8 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.8 -57 -2.3 -27.0 40.3 34.6 76.7 1.2 60.5 54.8
Hensley Ward - 16 7.3 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.2 -14 -0.9 -16.6 51.4 40.9 83.3 0.79 66.4 64.3
Caden Giles - 24 10.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 1.8 4.8 -8 -0.3 -3.5 62.8 0.0 65.5 -1.09 65.5 62.8
Gunner Garrett - 4 5.2 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 2.0 -16 -5.3 -167.7 44.4 50.0 0 -1.17 66.7 66.7
Max Lidman - 19 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.2 2.0 -22 -1.2 -40.5 63.6 61.9 0 2.64 93.2 93.2
Te'Shawn Ricks - 4 4.0 1.2 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -28 -9.3 -293.4 25.0 16.7 0 -1.17 31.2 31.2
Filip Brkic' - 4 7.0 0.8 1.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.0 -13 -4.3 -64.1 16.7 16.7 0 -0.43 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG