UT Tyler
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1102 (#86) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1091 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1106 (#69) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.6 (#90) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.6 (#125) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.891 (#189) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.892 (#142) | NetEff +14.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.948 (#155) | AdjNet +25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.954 (#154) | AdjNet +25.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.810 (#158) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 51.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.732 (#62) | AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 48.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.795 (#104) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.793 (#96) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1176 (#58) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 55 - 50 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Mary | L | 48 - 68 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 46 - 56 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | CSU Pueblo | W | 61 - 46 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 39 - 53 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Jarvis Christian | W | 70 - 42 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Dallas Christian | W | 115 - 32 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | St. Edward's | W | 53 - 47 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Adams St. | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Angelo St. | W | 45 - 42 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 66 - 38 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | St. Edward's | W | 47 - 44 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lubbock Christian | W | 55 - 45 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Midwestern St. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | West Tex. A&M | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Eastern N.M. | W | 61 - 47 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Texas Woman's | L | 51 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Davis | - | 18 | 24.6 | 11.2 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 60 | 2.9 | 9.4 | 49.0 | 33.3 | 67.2 | 2.63 | 56.6 | 52.7 |
| Polina Latysheva | - | 19 | 31.4 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 6.3 | 73 | 3.3 | 9.3 | 35.1 | 33.0 | 67.7 | 0.49 | 45.0 | 42.9 |
| Hayley Cumming | - | 19 | 30.3 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 10.4 | 5.5 | 127 | 5.8 | 18.2 | 36.4 | 31.6 | 58.8 | 0.5 | 46.5 | 45.7 |
| Mariah Neal | - | 19 | 24.1 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 93 | 4.2 | 15.6 | 42.9 | 32.8 | 69.2 | 0.26 | 53.7 | 52.4 |
| Mileina Sablinskaite | - | 19 | 25.1 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 124 | 5.6 | 20.2 | 37.6 | 20.0 | 61.1 | -0.41 | 42.0 | 40.2 |
| KK Bass | - | 15 | 16.5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 72 | 4.2 | 28.1 | 28.9 | 29.8 | 80.0 | 3.37 | 41.0 | 38.2 |
| Nikolina Vukcevic | - | 19 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.6 | -0.2 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 25.0 | 17.6 | 84.2 | -2.69 | 34.2 | 28.4 |
| Lilli Hakkarainen | - | 19 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 37 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 27.9 | 18.2 | 60.0 | 0.94 | 35.8 | 31.1 |
| Edit Merivirta | - | 19 | 14.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 48 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 23.8 | 37.5 | -1.89 | 39.6 | 39.4 |
| Salome Svani | - | 4 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 | 634.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Jorja Hart | - | 19 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 60 | 2.7 | 20.4 | 44.0 | 41.7 | 25.0 | -0.23 | 50.8 | 54.0 |
| Georgia Tomkins | - | 12 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 41 | 2.9 | 46.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Zionna Barbee | - | 7 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 21 | 2.3 | 384.7 | 10.0 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0.99 | 23.0 | 15.0 |
| Mackenzie Mitchell | - | 8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 7 | 0.7 | 52.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG