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UT Permian Basin

Season: 2026 2020 2014 2013
Also known as: UT Permian Basin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#312) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1041 (#286) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1009 (#372) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +9.6 (#236) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.974 (#204) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.9 More → 0.815 (#229) AdjNet +12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.5 More → 0.812 (#228) AdjNet +12.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.9 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.755 (#194) AdjO 85.9 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.588 (#230) AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#235) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.652 (#256) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1092 (#196) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 vs McMurry W 104 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Connor Morris - 1 17.5 25.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 19.0 - - - 69.2 62.5 100.0 - 90.1 88.5
Sharrod Taylor - 1 26.9 21.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 16.0 - - - 63.6 71.4 100.0 - 88.4 86.4
Tash Lunday - 1 28.2 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 64.4 56.2
Marcus Burnett - 1 19.5 10.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 85.7 - 49.6 28.6
Rashad Kee - 1 28.4 9.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 50.7 50.0
Brady Watson - 1 10.1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 78.1 62.5
Kainan Thomas - 1 12.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 72 4.2 16.3 60.0 50.0 0 3.8 80.0 80.0
Kyle McElroy - 1 28.8 6.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 87.2 100.0
Bryceson Burns - 1 20.7 3.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 33 2.5 71.5 25.0 33.3 0 1.34 37.5 37.5
Tristan Lewis - 1 6.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 7 0.4 5.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.03 26.6 0.0
Diego Rodriguez - 1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -2.2 -115.6 0 0 0 -0.61 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG