UT Martin
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 655 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 782 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 905 (#266) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.5 (#270) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#267) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.143 (#290) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.103 (#278) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.101 (#278) | AdjNet -18.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.269 (#274) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.328 (#276) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.213 (#278) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 750 (#284) | RD 177 | GP 23 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-18 | vs | Evansville | L | 70 - 83 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ | Bradley | L | 47 - 68 |
| 1998-11-23 | @ | Illinois | L | 35 - 71 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ | Mississippi State | L | 67 - 85 |
| 1998-12-03 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 74 - 63 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ | Morehead State | L | 64 - 74 |
| 1998-12-14 | @ | Ohio State | L | 56 - 92 |
| 1999-01-02 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 50 - 56 |
| 1999-01-04 | vs | Tennessee Tech | L | 46 - 56 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ | Murray State | L | 58 - 87 |
| 1999-01-12 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | L | 60 - 64 |
| 1999-01-14 | @ | Eastern Illinois | W | 83 - 75 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | L | 75 - 84 |
| 1999-01-21 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 70 - 69 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Tennessee State | L | 56 - 67 |
| 1999-01-28 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 78 - 80 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Tennessee Tech | L | 59 - 75 |
| 1999-02-02 | vs | Morehead State | L | 69 - 85 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | Murray State | W | 74 - 73 |
| 1999-02-11 | vs | Eastern Illinois | W | 87 - 81 |
| 1999-02-13 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | L | 49 - 60 |
| 1999-02-18 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 63 - 77 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ | Tennessee State | L | 57 - 66 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.