UT Martin
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
80.5
PPG
86.8
Opp
-6.2
Margin
43.4%
FG%
26.4%
3P%
69.6%
FT%
41.5
RPG
12.8
APG
18.5
TO
85.4
Est. poss./game
70.2
Adj PPG
85.5
Adj Opp PPG
#338
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 802 (#285) | Preseason prior 755 (returning production + recruiting): last season 903, returning -90, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 841 (#308) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 843 (#309) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.8 (#307) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.9 (#309) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.055 (#311) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.212 (#305) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.231 (#292) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.200 (#338) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.201 (#339) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.228 (#308) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.228 (#309) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 839 (#284) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.183 (#312) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 90 - 89 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Christian Brothers Buccaneers | W | 105 - 41 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | L | 68 - 114 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Missouri Tigers | L | 59 - 103 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Butler Bulldogs | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Champion Christian Tigers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Southern Illinois Salukis | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raven Sims
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 17.3 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 14.0 | 9.3 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -9.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.46 | 55.0 | 52.4 |
Olivia Smith
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.2 | 9.0 | -41 | 4 | -10.2 | -15.9 | 48.6 | 28.6 | 63.6 | -1.38 | 53.8 | 51.4 |
Lily Espelet
|
F | 4 | 18.5 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 5.8 | -11 | 4 | -2.8 | -6.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 60.6 | 58.9 |
Tyler Jones
|
G | 4 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 11.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 30.4 | 0.0 | 85.7 | - | 34.6 | 30.4 |
Alorian Story
|
C | 4 | 12.0 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 3.8 | -23 | 4 | -5.8 | -20.0 | 57.7 | 0 | 60.0 | -1.56 | 58.5 | 57.7 |
Sidni Middleton
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 3.5 | -17 | 4 | -4.2 | -10.3 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 54.5 | -1.0 | 39.6 | 35.7 |
Maddie Penney
|
G | 4 | 15.8 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 6.2 | 2 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 0.12 | 77.2 | 75.0 |
Kennedy Horton
|
F | 4 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | -3 | 4 | -0.8 | -2.4 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 55.6 | 46.4 |
Mimi Lazarevic
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | -32 | 4 | -8.0 | -25.3 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 60.0 | -3.21 | 43.8 | 36.7 |
Sophie Chard Peloquin
|
G | 4 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 | -17 | 4 | -4.2 | -11.5 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.04 | 39.2 | 35.7 |
Chloe Chard Peloquin
|
F | 4 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | -19 | 4 | -4.8 | -17.3 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -3.9 | 45.7 | 35.7 |
Angela Mirkovic
|
F | 4 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 27 | 4 | 6.8 | 31.5 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 3.34 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Curnesha Taylor
|
G | 3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7 | 3 | 2.3 | 20.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.7 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
Na'Kayjah Holman
|
G | 4 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 25.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.11 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
286 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Raven SimsOlivia SmithLily EspeletAlorian StoryTyler JonesMaddie PenneySidni MiddletonKennedy HortonAngela Mirkovic
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 29-46 | 63.0 | 58 | Alorian Story 21% (12 pts) | Olivia Smith 21% (12 pts) | Alorian Story 18% (3 misses) | Olivia Smith 18% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 55-113 | 48.7 | 110 | Raven Sims 20% (22 pts) | Tyler Jones 15% (16 pts) | Tyler Jones 24% (14 misses) | Olivia Smith 14% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 14-32 | 43.8 | 28 | Sidni Middleton 21% (6 pts) | Alorian Story 14% (4 pts) | Lily Espelet 17% (3 misses) | Raven Sims 17% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Olivia Smith 50% (2 pts) | Tyler Jones 50% (2 pts) | Sidni Middleton 67% (2 misses) | Raven Sims 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-18 | 27.8 | 10 | Alorian Story 40% (4 pts) | Chloe Chard Peloquin 20% (2 pts) | Tyler Jones 46% (6 misses) | Alorian Story 8% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Lily Espelet 100% (3 pts) | - | Raven Sims 60% (3 misses) | Sidni Middleton 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kennedy Horton 50% (1 misses) | Olivia Smith 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-22 | 22.7 | 15 | Maddie Penney 40% (6 pts) | Angela Mirkovic 20% (3 pts) | Tyler Jones 24% (4 misses) | Maddie Penney 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | Lily Espelet 50% (9 pts) | Angela Mirkovic 17% (3 pts) | Angela Mirkovic 15% (2 misses) | Lily Espelet 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-23 | 30.4 | 21 | Maddie Penney 29% (6 pts) | Kennedy Horton 14% (3 pts) | Sidni Middleton 25% (4 misses) | Lily Espelet 12% (2 misses) |