UT Arlington
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1256 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1060 (#83) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +23.4 (#191) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.3 (#188) | HCA +3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.535 (#124) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.452 (#181) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.476 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 957 (#184) | RD 136 | GP 26 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | @ | Texas Christian | L | 58 - 87 |
| 2003-11-24 | @ | New Mexico State | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2003-11-29 | @ | Texas–Rio Grande Valley | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2003-12-22 | @ | Wichita State | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2003-12-29 | N | New Orleans | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2003-12-30 | N | South Alabama | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2004-01-02 | @ | Texas | L | 79 - 99 |
| 2004-01-08 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | UTSA | W | 85 - 64 |
| 2004-01-15 | @ | Texas State | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | McNeese | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2004-01-21 | vs | Texas–Rio Grande Valley | W | 73 - 54 |
| 2004-01-24 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | L | 44 - 71 |
| 2004-01-29 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | Lamar | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2004-02-05 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 67 - 83 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2004-02-12 | @ | McNeese | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2004-02-18 | @ | UTSA | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Texas State | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2004-02-26 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2004-02-28 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2004-03-03 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 81 - 53 |
| 2004-03-08 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2004-03-10 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | L | 68 - 69 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.