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USC Upstate

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2019
Also known as: USC Upstate
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#255) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1068 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1007 (#395) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +37.0 (#30) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#107) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.4 More → 0.980 (#85) AdjNet +33.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.2 More → 0.982 (#80) AdjNet +33.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.1 | AdjD 63.3 More → 0.919 (#65) AdjO 90.1 | AdjD 63.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.710 (#100) AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.921 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.884 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 991 (#371) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Southern Va. W 105 - 46

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carmelo Adkins - 1 14.3 23.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 12.0 - - - 57.1 63.6 0 - 82.1 82.1
Kanye Jones - 1 18.9 14.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 23 1.1 11.0 71.4 0.0 66.7 -1.7 72.6 71.4
Karmani Gregory - 1 17.6 12.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 8.0 - - - 45.5 40.0 0 - 54.5 54.5
Mason Bendinger - 1 17.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 62.5 0.0 50.0 - 61.9 62.5
Learic Davis - 1 13.9 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 -34 -2.3 -13.4 50.0 0.0 66.7 -2.21 54.6 50.0
Nic Book - 1 13.1 6.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 77.3 66.7
Breylin Garcia - 1 15.8 6.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 46.6 50.0
Jafeth Martinez - 1 10.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 18 1.2 10.5 50.0 0 100.0 2.14 79.8 50.0
CJ Rich - 1 11.9 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 100.0 100.0 - 64.4 50.0
Isaiah Skinner - 1 20.1 5.0 4.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 66.7 - 47.0 37.5
Coen Collier - 1 12.3 4.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -59 -6.6 -38.6 50.0 0 100.0 0.11 69.4 50.0
Chico Johnson - 1 13.6 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 85 4.7 23.1 14.3 25.0 0 1.14 21.4 21.4
Tyler Smith - 1 21.6 2.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 90 4.7 17.6 25.0 0.0 0 1.06 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG