USC Aiken
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 849 (#349) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 829 (#337) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.8 (#271) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.137 (#515) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.110 (#337) | NetEff -15.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.177 (#536) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.175 (#537) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.322 (#529) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 68.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 68 - 103 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 41 - 57 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Tusculum | L | 78 - 95 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Erskine | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Barton | W | 52 - 45 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Lander | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Livingstone | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 58 - 83 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 32 - 59 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Georgia College | L | 46 - 60 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Flagler | L | 58 - 89 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Augusta | L | 37 - 67 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Clayton St. | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | North Georgia | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Georgia College | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Flagler | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Augusta | L | 44 - 69 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | L | 58 - 83 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2025-02-17 | vs | USC Beaufort | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Clayton St. | L | 48 - 61 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | North Georgia | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Lander | L | 64 - 65 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serena Baker | - | 28 | 24.6 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 7.1 | -39 | -1.6 | -1.5 | 41.0 | 26.7 | 68.0 | 0.29 | 48.6 | 41.8 |
| Rhiannon Saller | - | 28 | 23.0 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 8.7 | -58 | -1.7 | -2.4 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 65.9 | -0.23 | 51.1 | 47.0 |
| Kendall Parker | - | 28 | 23.2 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 3.2 | -71 | -2.7 | -2.8 | 34.5 | 29.6 | 76.2 | -0.71 | 46.6 | 39.7 |
| Paris Webster | - | 28 | 25.6 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 | -68 | -2.7 | -3.6 | 30.2 | 17.9 | 71.4 | -0.39 | 39.2 | 31.8 |
| Riley Simmons | - | 28 | 24.4 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 6.1 | 5.1 | -18 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 37.8 | 40.3 | 69.2 | -0.05 | 49.7 | 46.8 |
| Sami Bardonaro | - | 28 | 24.8 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 2.7 | -85 | -2.4 | -3.2 | 32.2 | 28.8 | 72.4 | -0.26 | 44.9 | 42.2 |
| Destiny Harman | - | 28 | 23.7 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 2.3 | -80 | -2.3 | -3.9 | 27.8 | 26.1 | 48.0 | -0.14 | 38.2 | 37.0 |
| Gracie Huffard | - | 27 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 3.5 | -69 | -2.9 | -8.7 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -0.94 | 45.6 | 43.3 |
| Molly Burns | - | 20 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | -27 | -1.8 | -5.1 | 22.2 | 23.3 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 40.7 | 30.0 |
| Jaya Nelson | - | 24 | 8.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -31 | -1.6 | -4.8 | 38.3 | 23.5 | 83.3 | -0.18 | 45.3 | 42.6 |
| Kiah Mcduffie | - | 2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Morgan Mcdermott | - | 9 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -0.4 | 19 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 26.9 | 21.4 |
| Olivia Ellis | - | 9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -3 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 25.0 | 0.05 | 73.5 | 100.0 |
| Makaylei Snyder | - | 9 | 7.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -0.4 | 10 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Mckenzie Lott | - | 4 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -35 | -3.2 | -15.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.34 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Aryanna Ingram | - | 16 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 130 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Alisa Ortiz | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG