USC Aiken
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#470) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 919 (#404) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 914 (#602) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.5 (#228) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.5 (#459) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.137 (#515) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.353 (#318) | NetEff -4.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.177 (#536) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.175 (#537) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.322 (#529) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.370 (#562) | AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.320 (#510) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.324 (#511) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 878 (#403) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 59 - 79 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Carson-Newman | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 32 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Middle Georgia | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Francis Marion | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Flagler | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | North Georgia | L | 45 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Tusculum | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Barton | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lander | L | 48 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Georgia College | W | 60 - 44 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Augusta | L | 46 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Middle Georgia | L | 47 - 64 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | North Georgia | L | 50 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Flagler | W | 62 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenna Nix | - | 21 | 27.2 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 7.8 | -82 | -4.8 | -29.3 | 38.0 | 26.2 | 65.7 | -0.88 | 47.4 | 40.4 |
| Monique Emelifeonwu | - | 21 | 35.8 | 8.4 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 11.9 | -133 | -7.8 | -35.9 | 39.5 | 26.1 | 69.8 | -1.28 | 47.8 | 43.2 |
| Mahkayla Premo | - | 19 | 22.0 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 4.0 | -90 | -6.0 | -31.6 | 32.8 | 27.5 | 70.9 | -1.13 | 44.4 | 38.0 |
| Morgan McDermott | - | 21 | 27.7 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.0 | 1.1 | -70 | -4.1 | -26.9 | 34.5 | 24.5 | 61.5 | -2.85 | 43.5 | 41.7 |
| Ioanna Stefanaki | - | 20 | 25.1 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 12 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 30.6 | 28.8 | 60.0 | 2.68 | 41.2 | 37.8 |
| Zenia Palaska | - | 21 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 3.2 | -36 | -2.1 | -19.6 | 33.7 | 16.0 | 55.2 | 0.03 | 39.0 | 35.8 |
| Nika Kurdija | - | 17 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 0.6 | -48 | -3.4 | -19.1 | 23.1 | 18.6 | 71.4 | 0.06 | 32.4 | 27.5 |
| Makaylei Snyder | - | 16 | 16.0 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | -18 | -1.4 | -16.8 | 39.0 | 36.0 | 82.4 | 0.16 | 56.7 | 50.0 |
| Destiny Harman | - | 19 | 12.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | -55 | -3.2 | -32.0 | 31.1 | 34.6 | 50.0 | -1.21 | 41.7 | 41.1 |
| Riley Miller | - | 15 | 15.0 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 | -46 | -4.6 | -30.1 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 61.1 | 2.02 | 35.3 | 27.8 |
| Olivia Ellis | - | 2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -5 | -5.0 | -100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.8 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Kristen Auguste | - | 4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | -0.2 | -27 | -9.0 | -209.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.57 | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Megan Jacoby | - | 4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -11 | -3.7 | -220.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Imogen Veal | - | 3 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | -11 | -3.7 | -108.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.73 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG