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USC Aiken

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 997 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 988 (#88) HCA +102 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 985 (#88) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +5.2 (#72) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +4.0 (#73) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.565 (#70) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.562 (#82) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.510 (#80) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 70.7
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 987 (#87) RD 218 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-09 vs Newberry W 79 - 64
2026-11-13 vs Catawba W 85 - 81

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.