UNC Wilmington
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1065 (#113) | Preseason prior 1033 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1044, returning +30, transfers -14, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1060 (#109) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1060 (#109) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.7 (#129) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.7 (#129) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.654 (#115) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.577 (#117) | AdjNet +5.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.573 (#121) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.578 (#110) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.578 (#109) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.596 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.596 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1077 (#108) | RD 202 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.561 (#127) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Mount Olive Trojans | W | 101 - 65 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | East Carolina Pirates | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Kent State Golden Flashes | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Montreat Cavaliers | W | 100 - 41 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | - | Postponed |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Long Island University Sharks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Norfolk State Spartans | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Wessler
|
F | 3 | 26.0 | 22.3 | 12.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 25.3 | 32 | 2 | 16.0 | 24.3 | 77.4 | 0 | 79.2 | 1.99 | 80.6 | 77.4 |
CJ Luster II
|
G | 4 | 20.5 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 32 | 2 | 16.0 | 27.5 | 48.6 | 48.4 | 87.5 | 0.71 | 71.6 | 68.9 |
Tahlan Pettway
|
G | 4 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 6.8 | 14 | 2 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 42.5 | 38.1 | 53.3 | 0.57 | 53.6 | 52.5 |
Gavin Walsh
|
F | 3 | 28.7 | 12.3 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 11.7 | 31 | 2 | 15.5 | 22.8 | 44.4 | 37.5 | 83.3 | 1.26 | 57.3 | 50.0 |
Jahnathan Lamothe
|
G | 4 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.8 | 11.8 | 10 | 2 | 5.0 | 9.3 | 42.9 | 22.2 | 81.8 | -1.26 | 54.0 | 48.6 |
Tyler Nelson
|
F | 4 | 18.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 22 | 2 | 11.0 | 23.3 | 44.0 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 0.52 | 49.4 | 50.0 |
Spencer Elliott
|
F | 4 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 13.6 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 0.69 | 53.0 | 52.9 |
Treyvon Maddox
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 13 | 2 | 6.5 | 30.4 | 41.2 | 37.5 | 83.3 | 0.31 | 56.0 | 50.0 |
Xavier Brown
|
G | 4 | 19.2 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 24 | 2 | 12.0 | 23.4 | 26.3 | 18.2 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 36.3 | 31.6 |
William Seward
|
F | 3 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 3.7 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -7.3 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 57.9 | 58.3 |
Kellum Brown
|
G | 3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 21.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
Matija Prodanovic
|
F | 3 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3.3 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -7.3 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
Makel Smith
|
G | 4 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 51.2 | 37.5 |
William Kermoury
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tamarion Siddle
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former UNC Wilmington players in EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last UNC Wilmington game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Sims | 2018-22 | EuroCup | ratiopharm ulm | 7 | 25.5 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 11-11 1 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 12.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 2.2 APG |
| Devontae Cacok | 2015-19 | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | 7 | 21.3 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 11-11 14 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 11.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 2.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Jaylen Sims | EuroCup | ratiopharm ulm | @ Roma Basketball | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Devontae Cacok | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Baglietto Derthona Tortona | 20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Devontae Cacok | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | vs Aris Thessaloniki | 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-03 | Jaylen Sims | EuroCup | ratiopharm ulm | vs Bahcesehir College Istanbul | 29 | 17 | 7 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Devontae Cacok | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 25 | 14 | 7 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Jaylen Sims | EuroCup | ratiopharm ulm | @ Lietkabelis Panevezys | 21 | 13 | 4 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
267 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
CJ Luster IIPatrick WesslerTahlan PettwayJahnathan LamotheGavin WalshTyler NelsonSpencer ElliottTreyvon MaddoxKellum Brown
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 60-77 | 77.9 | 120 | Patrick Wessler 32% (38 pts) | Gavin Walsh 13% (16 pts) | Spencer Elliott 29% (5 misses) | Gavin Walsh 24% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-56 | 37.5 | 42 | Patrick Wessler 24% (10 pts) | Tyler Nelson 24% (10 pts) | Gavin Walsh 17% (6 misses) | Patrick Wessler 14% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Jahnathan Lamothe 25% (2 pts) | Tahlan Pettway 25% (2 pts) | Tahlan Pettway 75% (3 misses) | Tyler Nelson 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | CJ Luster II 100% (2 pts) | - | CJ Luster II 25% (1 misses) | Tahlan Pettway 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Tyler Nelson 67% (4 misses) | CJ Luster II 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-5 | 80.0 | 12 | CJ Luster II 50% (6 pts) | Jahnathan Lamothe 25% (3 pts) | Treyvon Maddox 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Tyler Nelson 50% (3 pts) | William Seward 50% (3 pts) | Kellum Brown 25% (1 misses) | Tahlan Pettway 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 13-42 | 31.0 | 39 | Tahlan Pettway 31% (12 pts) | CJ Luster II 23% (9 pts) | Jahnathan Lamothe 31% (9 misses) | CJ Luster II 21% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 11-30 | 36.7 | 33 | CJ Luster II 55% (18 pts) | Tahlan Pettway 27% (9 pts) | CJ Luster II 32% (6 misses) | Tahlan Pettway 32% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-32 | 31.2 | 30 | CJ Luster II 40% (12 pts) | Gavin Walsh 30% (9 pts) | CJ Luster II 18% (4 misses) | Tyler Nelson 18% (4 misses) |