UNC Pembroke
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 962 (#257) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 921 (#274) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.1 (#146) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.630 (#315) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.825 (#104) | NetEff +12.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.566 (#374) | AdjNet +2.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.612 (#358) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#359) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 60.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | vs | North Greenville | W | 91 - 31 |
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Wingate | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Coker | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Anderson (SC) | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | W | 84 - 59 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Fayetteville St. | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Livingstone | W | 79 - 41 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Erskine | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 46 - 55 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 58 - 52 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Virginia Union | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Shorter | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Davidson | L | 53 - 84 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Erskine | W | 70 - 48 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Barton | W | 56 - 46 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | King (TN) | W | 55 - 49 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Chowan | W | 60 - 54 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Converse | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Barton | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 73 - 52 |
| 2025-02-03 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Young Harris | L | 45 - 59 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Chowan | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 48 - 56 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | North Greenville | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 67 - 39 |
| 2025-03-03 | vs | Barton | W | 84 - 35 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Young Harris | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | North Georgia | L | 64 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayde Gamble | - | 2 | 22.5 | 14.0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 19.0 | 198 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 61.5 | 57.1 | 80.0 | 0.46 | 80.5 | 76.9 |
| Jaila Lee | - | 2 | 20.5 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 85.7 | 0.4 | 79.6 | 75.0 |
| Anastasia Sinclair | - | 32 | 31.9 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 9.5 | 7.7 | 8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 46.4 | 25.3 | 66.1 | 0.21 | 53.4 | 49.8 |
| Makiah Asidanya | - | 2 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 50.0 | 87.5 | 0.68 | 69.6 | 61.5 |
| Zaria Clark | - | 32 | 32.8 | 10.4 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 10.5 | 57 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 42.8 | 66.7 | 83.5 | 0.75 | 49.3 | 43.1 |
| Hannah Russell | - | 31 | 25.9 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 31 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 49.6 | 0.0 | 63.1 | 0.08 | 52.3 | 49.6 |
| Kelci Adams | - | 32 | 31.5 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 10 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 32.9 | 30.9 | 83.0 | 0.1 | 47.9 | 44.4 |
| Stella Mollica | - | 32 | 34.7 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 8.2 | 7.5 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 34.5 | 33.7 | 85.9 | -0.25 | 46.2 | 40.2 |
| Kelly Boyle | - | 2 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.5 | -36 | -2.8 | -2.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 57.1 | -0.26 | 72.2 | 75.0 |
| Ayanna Jackson | - | 2 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 66 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 83.3 | 0.22 | 105.4 | 112.5 |
| Khalis Cain | - | 2 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 100 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 54.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 54.7 | 54.5 |
| Nasia Powell | - | 2 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 41.7 | 30.0 |
| Nya Smith | - | 2 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 18.8 | 28.6 | 40.0 | 0.37 | 27.5 | 25.0 |
| Tiana Spann | - | 32 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 3.0 | -13 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 50.4 | 0 | 52.5 | 0.42 | 51.4 | 50.4 |
| Natalie Evington | - | 32 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 | -39 | -0.9 | -1.8 | 41.8 | 39.8 | 66.7 | -0.34 | 60.8 | 60.5 |
| Kristina Rakotobe | - | 2 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Nia Howard | - | 2 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Tasia Johnson | - | 2 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 61 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.53 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Malea Garrison | - | 30 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2.2 | -25 | -1.0 | -3.6 | 43.5 | 30.8 | 75.0 | -0.45 | 51.0 | 49.3 |
| Jailah Clark-Jones | - | 2 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Maya Hood | - | 31 | 8.3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.2 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Joelle Davis | - | 2 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Amanda Sacoto | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kennedy Simpson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Yacine N'Diaye | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Denaira Williams | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jykya Bell | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Jianna Holmes | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nadia vonReichbauer | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tamia Morris | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG