UNC Pembroke
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1003 (#264) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 981 (#293) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#280) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#275) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.9 (#317) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.630 (#315) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.243 (#350) | NetEff -8.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.566 (#374) | AdjNet +2.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.612 (#358) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#359) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.555 (#240) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.480 (#378) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.504 (#347) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 976 (#277) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wingate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Longwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Flagler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Belmont Abbey | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Erskine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -3.54 | 82.5 | 85.7 |
| Bre'Asia Washington | - | 18 | 28.0 | 12.2 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 48.3 | 33.3 | 69.4 | 1.55 | 53.5 | 48.9 |
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 3.85 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -1.56 | 46.3 | 50.0 |
| Tiana Spann | - | 16 | 25.8 | 9.7 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 9.8 | 14 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 52.8 | 0 | 45.5 | 1.03 | 52.6 | 52.8 |
| Anastasia Sinclair | - | 17 | 30.1 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 5.8 | -19 | -1.0 | -5.7 | 40.5 | 21.1 | 69.2 | 0.47 | 48.6 | 42.0 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.06 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Natalie Evington | - | 18 | 23.8 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 2.4 | -23 | -1.1 | -7.5 | 33.3 | 33.6 | 90.0 | -2.32 | 49.5 | 48.0 |
| Shaymiah Bailey | - | 17 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 8.2 | -11 | -0.6 | -6.9 | 55.3 | 0 | 73.0 | -0.4 | 59.1 | 55.3 |
| Grace Ikenegbu | - | 15 | 29.9 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 10.3 | 16 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 49.0 | 0 | 67.7 | 1.9 | 52.4 | 49.0 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.32 | 23.0 | 20.0 |
| Keziyah Sanders | - | 18 | 26.7 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 3.1 | -79 | -3.6 | -30.6 | 26.4 | 31.2 | 55.8 | 0.35 | 35.0 | 29.1 |
| Camille Kerridge | - | 15 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 0.1 | -30 | -1.9 | -15.3 | 35.4 | 55.6 | 50.0 | -2.02 | 43.8 | 43.1 |
| Brianna Johnson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -15.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.56 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Breanna Perry | - | 13 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 40 | 3.1 | 29.1 | 30.6 | 25.8 | 100.0 | 2.71 | 43.4 | 41.7 |
| Lauren Bell | - | 7 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | -24 | -3.0 | -26.3 | 35.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.79 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| Abby Sheets | - | 14 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 0.1 | -45 | -3.5 | -33.0 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -1.46 | 26.9 | 19.8 |
| Asha Shareef | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -44 | -4.9 | -122.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tanahia Hairston | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.82 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nashelle Ponds | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Nakeria Scales | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.23 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG