UNC Pembroke
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 921 (#435) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 919 (#405) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#280) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#239) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.9 (#317) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.630 (#315) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.243 (#350) | NetEff -8.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.566 (#374) | AdjNet +2.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.612 (#358) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#359) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.555 (#240) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.481 (#376) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.505 (#347) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 992 (#262) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wingate | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Coker | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Young Harris | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Barton | L | 59 - 82 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 49 - 52 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Longwood | L | 62 - 90 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Ferrum | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Flagler | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | King (TN) | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Livingstone | W | 94 - 39 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Chowan | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Erskine | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Converse | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 65 - 45 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Barton | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 75 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeni Levine | - | 1 | 26.1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 60.0 | 0.0 | - | 68.3 | 70.8 |
| Makiah Asidanya | - | 1 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Leyla Minor | - | 1 | 24.6 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 59.7 | 55.0 |
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.75 | 82.5 | 85.7 |
| Bre'Asia Washington | - | 19 | 27.6 | 12.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 48.6 | 33.3 | 68.5 | 2.39 | 53.5 | 49.2 |
| Ciara Harris | - | 1 | 17.3 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 35 | 1.8 | 8.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 2.69 | 77.3 | 75.0 |
| Joelle Davis | - | 1 | 17.9 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 44.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 3.98 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.98 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.18 | 46.3 | 50.0 |
| Rylan Moffitt | - | 1 | 20.4 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0 | 0 | - | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Tiana Spann | - | 17 | 25.3 | 9.2 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 14 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 51.6 | 0 | 47.4 | 1.41 | 52.0 | 51.6 |
| Anastasia Sinclair | - | 18 | 29.8 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.6 | 5.6 | -19 | -1.0 | -5.7 | 40.9 | 21.1 | 69.7 | 0.76 | 48.8 | 42.3 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.49 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Natalie Evington | - | 19 | 23.8 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 2.3 | -23 | -1.1 | -7.5 | 33.5 | 33.3 | 90.0 | -2.24 | 49.6 | 48.1 |
| Shaymiah Bailey | - | 18 | 21.9 | 8.4 | 6.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 8.3 | -11 | -0.6 | -6.9 | 56.0 | 0 | 70.7 | -1.11 | 59.4 | 56.0 |
| Grace Ikenegbu | - | 16 | 29.7 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 10.2 | 16 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 67.7 | 0.77 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Jaila Lee | - | 1 | 15.3 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.3 | 0.0 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 23.0 | 20.0 |
| Camille Kerridge | - | 16 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | -30 | -1.9 | -15.3 | 34.7 | 55.0 | 60.0 | -1.11 | 43.8 | 42.4 |
| Keziyah Sanders | - | 19 | 26.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 2.9 | -79 | -3.6 | -30.6 | 25.0 | 27.8 | 55.6 | 1.15 | 33.7 | 27.6 |
| Tasia Johnson | - | 1 | 17.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 19 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.39 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brianna Johnson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -15.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.65 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Breanna Perry | - | 14 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 40 | 3.1 | 29.1 | 35.0 | 31.4 | 100.0 | 2.01 | 50.1 | 48.8 |
| Lauren Bell | - | 8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | -24 | -3.0 | -26.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | 1.88 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Mia Simpson | - | 1 | 19.2 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Salimata Traore | - | 1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Kristina Rakotobe | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Abby Sheets | - | 15 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.1 | -45 | -3.5 | -33.0 | 15.9 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -1.07 | 26.3 | 19.3 |
| Danaya Stokes | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Asha Shareef | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -44 | -4.9 | -122.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tanahia Hairston | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nashelle Ponds | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Nakeria Scales | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG