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UMass Lowell

Also known as: UMass Lowell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1105 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1000 (#457) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.4 (#369) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +50.5 More → 0.997 (#9) AdjNet +50.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +50.7 More → 0.998 (#9) AdjNet +50.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.976 (#7) AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4 More → 0.515 (#365) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.529 (#377) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#384) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 81 | GP 39 More → 1061 (#276) RD 81 | GP 39

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Rivier W 107 - 55
2025-11-08 vs Brooklyn W 102 - 59
2025-11-08 vs Curry W 76 - 67
2025-11-09 vs Saint Joseph (CT) W 84 - 83
2025-11-11 vs Salve Regina L 71 - 72
2025-11-12 @ Bridgewater St. W 129 - 82
2025-11-13 @ Salem St. L 86 - 91
2025-11-18 vs Fitchburg St. L 63 - 65
2025-11-18 @ WPI L 77 - 94
2025-11-21 vs Babson W 79 - 62
2025-11-21 @ Bowdoin L 89 - 96
2025-11-23 @ Bates L 82 - 88
2025-11-25 vs Wheaton (MA) W 71 - 68
2025-11-29 vs Emerson W 90 - 67
2025-11-30 @ Brandeis L 75 - 86
2025-12-03 vs Southern Me. W 77 - 74
2025-12-03 @ Rhode Island Col. L 63 - 87
2025-12-06 vs VTSU Castleton W 78 - 55
2025-12-06 @ Keene St. W 74 - 69
2025-12-13 @ Roger Williams W 96 - 71
2025-12-22 @ Massachusetts L 40 - 91
2025-12-28 @ CCNY W 80 - 74
2025-12-30 @ Albertus Magnus L 82 - 100
2025-12-31 @ Suffolk W 80 - 69
2026-01-03 vs MIT W 84 - 72
2026-01-03 @ Eastern Conn. St. W 83 - 79
2026-01-06 vs WestConn L 70 - 98
2026-01-06 @ Eastern Conn. St. W 94 - 82
2026-01-08 vs UMass Boston L 72 - 90
2026-01-10 vs WestConn L 86 - 98
2026-01-14 vs Plymouth St. W 80 - 55
2026-01-14 @ Southern Me. L 89 - 95
2026-01-17 vs Plymouth St. W 86 - 66
2026-01-17 @ Rhode Island Col. W 77 - 64
2026-01-21 @ Keene St. L 83 - 88
2026-01-24 @ VTSU Castleton W 70 - 56
2026-01-28 vs Rhode Island Col. L 82 - 89
2026-02-04 vs Eastern Conn. St. L 86 - 96
2026-02-07 @ Plymouth St. W 74 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ray Cuevas - 1 32.0 33.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 20.0 20 1.2 4.8 56.2 25.0 100.0 3.49 74.5 59.4
Yansel Reyes - 1 29.3 22.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 22.0 2.0 13 0.8 3.9 40.9 30.0 100.0 2.27 49.0 47.7
Raphel Laurent - 12 35.9 21.6 5.4 2.6 1.8 0.2 2.1 16.8 12.8 20 1.2 19.1 48.5 33.3 61.2 1.83 55.9 54.0
Raheim Orleans - 1 33.0 21.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 22.0 20 1.3 4.6 75.0 0 42.9 -0.01 69.6 75.0
Cameron Perkins - 12 31.8 19.8 4.7 1.4 1.1 0.4 2.8 14.8 9.8 -8 -0.4 -7.1 47.5 47.3 72.9 1.48 58.4 54.8
Austin Green - 2 22.8 18.0 12.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 9.5 24.0 24 3.0 1225.5 68.4 0 66.7 0.56 70.3 68.4
JJ Massaquoi - 2 19.4 17.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 9.5 10.5 - - - 68.4 50.0 88.9 - 76.2 71.1
Brady Hulland - 1 27.9 17.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 12.0 -30 -1.7 -12.8 36.4 42.9 100.0 -0.56 62.3 50.0
Danny Reyes - 20 31.6 15.3 5.5 5.0 1.3 0.2 3.0 10.9 13.6 -20 -1.1 -5.0 44.3 44.4 83.8 0.82 57.3 48.9
Victor Okojie - 1 23.3 15.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 20.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 70.0 - 60.5 50.0
Camden DiChiara - 15 30.1 14.8 4.5 0.9 1.6 0.3 1.6 10.4 10.0 11 0.8 3.2 46.2 45.2 84.9 0.02 61.9 56.7
Jared Frey - 2 25.5 14.0 3.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 14.5 - - - 53.8 50.0 100.0 - 80.5 69.2
Nic Boyd - 20 35.0 13.9 2.8 4.0 0.8 0.0 2.1 12.1 7.4 9 0.5 2.1 42.3 38.9 88.2 1.94 54.3 51.5
Omri Merryman - 1 31.0 13.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 11 0.7 3.2 37.5 50.0 83.3 -1.6 61.1 50.0
Ryan Flauto - 20 24.6 12.4 8.4 0.9 1.3 0.9 1.7 8.7 13.6 19 1.1 6.1 61.5 0.0 75.6 1.77 64.0 61.5
Kevin Reeves - 1 19.0 12.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 11.0 30 1.9 11.3 66.7 0 0 0.23 66.7 66.7
Mahdee McNair - 19 25.7 10.9 3.3 0.9 1.2 0.4 2.4 10.0 4.3 -13 -0.8 -5.5 43.7 36.2 65.4 0.47 51.6 50.3
Davon Sanders - 12 34.4 10.4 3.8 3.2 1.4 0.2 2.4 9.2 7.4 12 0.8 11.3 36.9 21.4 70.8 0.63 47.3 41.0
Michael Bowman - 1 40.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 13.0 -67 -3.7 -16.3 80.0 100.0 0 1.85 100.0 100.0
Camden Dunbury - 18 15.7 9.9 5.4 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.5 6.6 9.6 0 0.0 0.0 59.7 0.0 74.0 -0.98 63.5 59.7
Torran Bosworth - 1 27.2 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 -38 -2.0 -12.3 33.3 40.0 100.0 -0.06 61.5 50.0
Shawn Simmons II - 1 14.3 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 -47 -2.4 -84.2 66.7 0 50.0 -1.73 65.4 66.7
Jamel Walker - 1 35.0 8.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 14.0 28 2.0 7.6 50.0 0 66.7 0.26 60.2 50.0
Ben Chilson - 1 22.0 7.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 4.0 26 2.9 82.8 37.5 20.0 0 2.24 43.8 43.8
Khalil Farmer - 2 16.1 7.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 7.5 - - - 66.7 66.7 80.0 - 85.4 83.3
Isaiah Walter - 2 14.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 4.5 4.0 - - - 44.4 20.0 83.3 - 60.1 50.0
Steven Jean-Louis - 1 13.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -3 -1.0 -9.6 75.0 100.0 0 -0.19 87.5 87.5
Justas Bardauskas - 1 23.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 40.0 0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Caden Brown - 1 10.8 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 -3 -0.3 -1.4 100.0 0 66.7 -3.04 90.4 100.0
Keegan Martinez - 1 23.6 6.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 -52 -2.9 -27.5 37.5 0 0 -1.72 37.5 37.5
Angel Montas Jr. - 2 12.7 5.5 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.0 5.5 50 2.4 43.4 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.14 50.6 50.0
Darrel Yepdo - 2 23.4 5.5 2.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 0.0 - 52.7 55.0
Darius Peterson - 20 16.8 5.0 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.5 4.7 3.5 3 0.2 1.8 34.4 29.6 74.1 -2.36 47.7 43.0
Asante' Aurora - 1 11.4 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -44 -2.4 -26.2 50.0 50.0 0.0 -0.8 51.2 62.5
Jerrell Roberson II - 2 7.2 4.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.5 -15 -0.8 -6.5 75.0 0 50.0 0.12 67.8 75.0
Xavier Spencer - 2 24.1 4.5 5.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 4.5 7.0 - - - 44.4 20.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Steven Cordero - 12 14.6 4.3 2.2 0.9 1.6 0.2 1.1 4.2 3.9 10 0.8 2000.0 37.3 30.4 58.3 0.6 46.2 44.1
Skyler Venezia - 11 14.7 4.3 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.6 3.9 4.0 -22 -1.5 -19.2 34.9 34.3 62.5 -0.73 50.5 48.8
Ali Shaaban - 1 7.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 106.4 150.0
Chris Rey - 1 20.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 2 1.0 8.0 40.0 0.0 0 1.12 40.0 40.0
Will Mollica - 1 12.7 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 -58 -3.2 -20.6 50.0 0 0 -1.13 50.0 50.0
Michael Makiej - 1 12.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 21 1.4 10.8 33.3 0 100.0 1.84 51.5 33.3
Trent Santos - 3 11.7 3.7 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 4.3 2.0 8 2.7 7.8 30.8 30.0 0 0.59 42.3 42.3
Carson Meczywor - 12 24.8 3.6 3.6 0.8 1.6 0.1 1.0 3.2 5.3 -25 -2.1 -38.7 46.2 18.8 100.0 -1.63 52.7 50.0
Jude Gonzales - 2 3.6 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 -13 -1.9 -88.9 66.7 50.0 33.3 0.51 69.4 83.3
David Leye - 1 25.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 -30 -1.6 -18.3 33.3 0 50.0 -0.11 38.7 33.3
Keenan Bey - 2 11.7 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 6.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 75.0 - 108.7 150.0
Wil Martinez - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 51 3.4 19.8 50.0 100.0 0 1.5 75.0 75.0
Corrie Byrd - 9 13.5 2.9 3.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.9 4.6 -4 -0.4 -18.9 70.6 0 22.2 -0.22 62.0 70.6
Isaiah Makor - 16 9.1 2.8 2.2 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 1.9 3.8 7 0.6 40.6 53.3 50.0 81.8 0.74 63.1 58.3
Connor Walden - 10 11.7 2.6 2.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.4 3.3 2.8 10 0.6 6.9 36.4 22.2 0.0 3.49 38.9 39.4
Strada Joseph - 15 14.8 2.5 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 3.3 1.7 -21 -1.8 -29.6 24.5 20.0 60.0 1.01 32.9 26.5
Clayton McLaren - 8 13.2 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.9 1.4 3.4 28 2.3 43.8 72.7 50.0 33.3 0.7 77.1 81.8
Eli Pockette - 1 32.7 2.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 -35 -2.2 -9.7 12.5 0.0 0 -0.08 12.5 12.5
Batuhan Goktas - 1 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 20 6.7 67.8 0 0 100.0 -1.93 113.6 0
Erik Donaldson - 6 8.8 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.2 -2 -0.2 -22.0 60.0 0 80.0 0.12 69.4 60.0
Jesse Basse - 14 9.0 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.1 1.6 -8 -0.6 -11.9 26.7 21.4 83.3 -0.28 36.8 31.7
Hector Perez - 8 8.0 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.4 0.0 -20 -2.2 -4000.0 21.1 26.7 0 0.03 31.6 31.6
Fendi Francois - 3 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 -11 -1.8 -45.9 50.0 0 100.0 -0.65 69.4 50.0
Seun Sorinmade - 5 5.6 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.8 -0.2 -2 -0.3 -9.1 22.2 25.0 0 -0.11 33.3 33.3
Barry Golden - 9 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.9 2 0.3 21.2 44.4 50.0 50.0 0.06 55.7 55.6
Shane Weber - 4 4.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Mikell Orellus - 4 5.9 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.0 1.2 -14 -2.8 -46.0 25.0 0.0 0 -0.81 25.0 25.0
Jordan Gunthrop - 1 17.7 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 3 0.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 1.33 10.2 0.0
Jonathan Therasias - 8 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.2 1 0.2 10.6 33.3 20.0 0 0.06 38.9 38.9
Charles Bembery - 10 2.7 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 -24 -2.7 -244.1 33.3 0 75.0 0.05 52.5 33.3
D'Anthony Amado - 7 3.8 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.4 1 0.1 2.3 0.0 0 75.0 0.67 31.5 0.0
TC McLaurin III - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 2 0.1 2.8 0 0 0 -2.53 0 0
Nolan Bessire - 1 17.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 0.0 0 0 -1.0 0.0 0.0
Kris Johnson - 1 8.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11 1.0 26.3 0 0 0 -0.38 0 0
Evan Berkeley - 1 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -37 -2.1 -15.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.62 0.0 0.0
Marvel Vilmont - 2 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG