Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 888 (#419) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 823 (#437) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.5 (#329) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.713 (#358) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.623 (#193) | NetEff +3.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.141 (#520) | AdjNet -15.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.124 (#527) | AdjNet -16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.258 (#537) | AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 66.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Smith | - | 27 | 28.3 | 15.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 13.9 | 6.7 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 39.1 | 30.5 | 73.8 | -0.04 | 49.2 | 44.8 |
| Gretta Baker | - | 27 | 19.5 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 11.7 | 1.4 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 29.5 | 26.6 | 73.2 | 0.17 | 38.3 | 34.8 |
| Jakaia Lotz | - | 6 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 6.5 | -8 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 36.0 | 0 | 54.5 | 0.11 | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| Kayla Hanley | - | 27 | 30.9 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 9.3 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 14.0 | 86.1 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 35.9 |
| Grace Kennedy | - | 25 | 14.6 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 3.5 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 39.1 | 25.9 | 75.0 | 0.62 | 47.3 | 41.7 |
| Ashley Marrocco | - | 27 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | -9 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 46.4 | 37.0 | 75.0 | 0.08 | 60.0 | 58.7 |
| Julia Angeles | - | 27 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.6 | -50 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 41.2 | 14.3 | 52.9 | -0.4 | 43.4 | 41.9 |
| Nailea Green | - | 27 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 3.9 | -71 | -2.2 | -5.2 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -0.46 | 39.2 | 34.6 |
| Michaela Ligon | - | 25 | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.2 | -4 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 34.0 | 0 | 78.8 | 0.3 | 46.5 | 34.0 |
| Kyla Mclean | - | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -25 | -1.5 | -11.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Angelina Escobinas | - | 23 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -22 | -0.9 | -1.9 | 28.9 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.23 | 31.5 | 28.9 |
| Sharon Brown | - | 20 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 30.3 | 25.0 | 36.4 | 0.21 | 33.0 | 31.8 |
| Melanieann Broderick | - | 21 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 45.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 48.1 | 45.5 |
| Olivia Dutzer | - | 23 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 35.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 50.4 | 46.4 |
| Casey Mulvey | - | 24 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.29 | 46.6 | 50.0 |
| Sofia Marcos | - | 24 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Hailey Shalor | - | 23 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -52 | -3.7 | -24.2 | 16.7 | 7.7 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 21.2 | 19.4 |
| Folasade Alli-Balogun | - | 21 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Valentina Errichiello | - | 21 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Sophia Madalakis | - | 22 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -20 | -2.2 | -9.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Makayla Rader | - | 21 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Lexi Tucker | - | 22 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Isabelle Bagon | - | 22 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Ab Burnett | - | 5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -77 | -2.6 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Teah McCoy | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG