UL Monroe
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 890 (#217) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 910 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 982 (#184) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#274) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.4 (#249) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.341 (#239) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.199 (#262) | AdjNet -12.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.194 (#265) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.337 (#264) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 75.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.458 (#198) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.326 (#253) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.349 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 875 (#252) | RD 141 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-26 | vs | Centenary (LA) | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 71 - 92 |
| 2002-12-11 | @ | Baylor | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Texas Christian | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2002-12-17 | @ | Mississippi | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2002-12-22 | @ | Texas A&M | L | 66 - 107 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Texas State | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | UTSA | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | McNeese | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2003-01-16 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 75 - 52 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2003-01-23 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 66 - 83 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Lamar | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2003-01-30 | vs | McNeese | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | UT Arlington | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2003-02-06 | @ | Texas State | L | 86 - 102 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | UTSA | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2003-02-20 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Northwestern State | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Lamar | W | 80 - 52 |
| 2003-03-05 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2003-03-07 | @ | UT Arlington | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2003-03-10 | @ | Texas State | L | 85 - 94 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.