UL Monroe
Model Outputs
1989-1990
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1163 (#57) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1091 (#92) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1122 (#32) | HCA +128 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.6 (#97) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +4.7 (#91) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.840 (#15) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.659 (#101) | AdjNet +5.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.661 (#101) | AdjNet +5.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.602 (#91) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.637 (#46) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.661 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.667 (#69) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1092 (#91) | RD 118 | GP 30 |
1990 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989-11-24 | N | Mississippi State | L | 68 - 75 |
| 1989-11-25 | N | Baylor | L | 68 - 69 |
| 1989-11-27 | vs | Jackson State | W | 90 - 72 |
| 1989-12-02 | vs | Mississippi | W | 79 - 69 |
| 1989-12-09 | vs | Southern Mississippi | L | 81 - 85 |
| 1989-12-16 | @ | Jackson State | W | 80 - 74 |
| 1989-12-29 | N | Wyoming | L | 66 - 75 |
| 1989-12-30 | N | Middle Tennessee | W | 81 - 70 |
| 1990-01-03 | @ | Memphis | L | 47 - 68 |
| 1990-01-08 | @ | Louisiana Tech | L | 69 - 76 |
| 1990-01-11 | @ | McNeese | W | 66 - 53 |
| 1990-01-13 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 109 - 69 |
| 1990-01-18 | vs | North Texas | W | 99 - 68 |
| 1990-01-20 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 68 - 55 |
| 1990-01-25 | @ | Texas State | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1990-01-27 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 84 - 93 |
| 1990-01-29 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 91 - 51 |
| 1990-02-03 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 83 - 75 |
| 1990-02-05 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 97 - 77 |
| 1990-02-08 | vs | McNeese | W | 87 - 67 |
| 1990-02-10 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 103 - 70 |
| 1990-02-15 | @ | North Texas | W | 81 - 64 |
| 1990-02-17 | @ | UT Arlington | W | 71 - 67 |
| 1990-02-22 | vs | Texas State | W | 96 - 83 |
| 1990-02-24 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | W | 78 - 62 |
| 1990-02-26 | vs | Louisiana Tech | W | 77 - 59 |
| 1990-03-01 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 82 - 67 |
| 1990-03-06 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 65 - 50 |
| 1990-03-07 | vs | North Texas | W | 84 - 68 |
| 1990-03-16 | N | Purdue | L | 63 - 75 |
1990 Roster
No roster data available for this season.