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UL Monroe

Also known as: UL Monroe Warhawks
Program History

Model Outputs

1989-1990
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1163 (#57) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1091 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +128 elo More โ†’ 1122 (#32) HCA +128 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ +4.6 (#97) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +4.7 (#91) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.840 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.7 More โ†’ 0.659 (#101) AdjNet +5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.8 More โ†’ 0.661 (#101) AdjNet +5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 70.0 More โ†’ 0.602 (#91) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.637 (#46) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.661 (#76) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.667 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1092 (#91) RD 118 | GP 30

1990 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1989-11-24 N Mississippi State L 68 - 75
1989-11-25 N Baylor L 68 - 69
1989-11-27 vs Jackson State W 90 - 72
1989-12-02 vs Mississippi W 79 - 69
1989-12-09 vs Southern Mississippi L 81 - 85
1989-12-16 @ Jackson State W 80 - 74
1989-12-29 N Wyoming L 66 - 75
1989-12-30 N Middle Tennessee W 81 - 70
1990-01-03 @ Memphis L 47 - 68
1990-01-08 @ Louisiana Tech L 69 - 76
1990-01-11 @ McNeese W 66 - 53
1990-01-13 vs Stephen F. Austin W 109 - 69
1990-01-18 vs North Texas W 99 - 68
1990-01-20 vs UT Arlington W 68 - 55
1990-01-25 @ Texas State W 81 - 67
1990-01-27 @ Sam Houston L 84 - 93
1990-01-29 vs Nicholls State W 91 - 51
1990-02-03 @ Northwestern State W 83 - 75
1990-02-05 @ Nicholls State W 97 - 77
1990-02-08 vs McNeese W 87 - 67
1990-02-10 vs Sam Houston W 103 - 70
1990-02-15 @ North Texas W 81 - 64
1990-02-17 @ UT Arlington W 71 - 67
1990-02-22 vs Texas State W 96 - 83
1990-02-24 @ Stephen F. Austin W 78 - 62
1990-02-26 vs Louisiana Tech W 77 - 59
1990-03-01 vs Northwestern State W 82 - 67
1990-03-06 vs UT Arlington W 65 - 50
1990-03-07 vs North Texas W 84 - 68
1990-03-16 N Purdue L 63 - 75

1990 Roster

No roster data available for this season.