UL Monroe
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 817 (#278) | Preseason prior 833 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1030, returning -104, transfers -93, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 859 (#289) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 861 (#290) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.8 (#214) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.6 (#212) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.146 (#268) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.291 (#262) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.277 (#269) | AdjNet -9.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.330 (#270) | AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.331 (#268) | AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#267) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.297 (#267) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 839 (#287) | RD 196 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.235 (#279) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | L | 46 - 57 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Centenary (LA) Ladies | W | 106 - 26 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aiyanna Culver
|
G | 3 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 58 | 3 | 19.3 | 46.6 | 58.3 | 52.6 | 100.0 | 1.52 | 82.1 | 79.2 |
Kylee Hunt
|
G | 3 | 26.3 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 25.8 | 27.8 | 83.3 | -0.73 | 42.7 | 33.9 |
Kayla Lindsey
|
G | 3 | 21.3 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 14.4 | 47.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -0.9 | 50.1 | 52.2 |
Nevaeh Scott
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -5.4 | 27.6 | 23.1 | 83.3 | -2.69 | 37.9 | 32.8 |
Chardel Terrell
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | 13 | 1 | 13.0 | 44.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.57 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
Erin Henry
|
G | 3 | 19.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 19.3 | 35.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -1.71 | 45.3 | 38.2 |
Summer Faleafa
|
F | 3 | 21.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 11.8 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.37 | 30.8 | 29.4 |
Roge'Ne' Hillard
|
C | 3 | 11.0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 37.5 | 0 | 62.5 | 1.62 | 47.7 | 37.5 |
Lea Nadolny
|
G | 3 | 21.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 40 | 3 | 13.3 | 24.9 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 1.64 | 43.5 | 35.0 |
Destini Ward
|
G | 3 | 13.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 19.5 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -0.4 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
Kyla McBride
|
F | 2 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -15.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.77 | 66.5 | 50.0 |
Amani Williams
|
F | 2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 13 | 2 | 6.5 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.85 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
Nuria Mucongo
|
NA | 3 | 13.7 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 49 | 3 | 16.3 | 46.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.92 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
185 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Aiyanna CulverKayla LindseyKylee HuntNevaeh ScottErin Henry
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 27-54 | 50.0 | 54 | Kayla Lindsey 26% (14 pts) | Erin Henry 19% (10 pts) | Kayla Lindsey 22% (6 misses) | Erin Henry 19% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 6-26 | 23.1 | 12 | Kayla Lindsey 33% (4 pts) | Aiyanna Culver 17% (2 pts) | Kayla Lindsey 20% (4 misses) | Kylee Hunt 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-10 | 40.0 | 8 | Nevaeh Scott 75% (6 pts) | Summer Faleafa 25% (2 pts) | Nevaeh Scott 83% (5 misses) | Kylee Hunt 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Aiyanna Culver 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 4-11 | 36.4 | 8 | Aiyanna Culver 25% (2 pts) | Lea Nadolny 25% (2 pts) | Kylee Hunt 43% (3 misses) | Nevaeh Scott 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Aiyanna Culver 67% (6 pts) | Kayla Lindsey 33% (3 pts) | Kylee Hunt 29% (2 misses) | Destini Ward 14% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | Aiyanna Culver 100% (3 pts) | - | Erin Henry 43% (3 misses) | Aiyanna Culver 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-26 | 30.8 | 24 | Aiyanna Culver 62% (15 pts) | Destini Ward 12% (3 pts) | Aiyanna Culver 22% (4 misses) | Kylee Hunt 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-17 | 35.3 | 18 | Aiyanna Culver 33% (6 pts) | Kayla Lindsey 17% (3 pts) | Kylee Hunt 36% (4 misses) | Nevaeh Scott 36% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Kylee Hunt 50% (9 pts) | Destini Ward 17% (3 pts) | Aiyanna Culver 19% (3 misses) | Lea Nadolny 19% (3 misses) |