🐻⬇️🏀

UIndy

Also known as: UIndy
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 825 (#498) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 788 (#504) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 900 (#613) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.6 (#218) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +1.4 (#341) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.316 (#436) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.9 More → 0.174 (#374) NetEff -11.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.586 (#365) AdjNet +3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.612 (#356) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.541 (#365) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.491 (#389) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.402 (#446) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#445) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 23 More → 810 (#459) RD 105 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Ashland L 61 - 68
2025-11-15 @ Malone L 57 - 94
2025-11-20 vs Walsh L 68 - 75
2025-11-22 @ Ursuline L 62 - 66
2025-11-24 @ Thomas More L 52 - 70
2025-12-01 @ Lewis L 48 - 63
2025-12-04 vs Maryville (MO) L 47 - 56
2025-12-06 vs Mo.-St. Louis L 43 - 60
2025-12-13 @ Purdue Northwest L 77 - 84
2025-12-16 vs Findlay L 54 - 83
2026-01-02 @ Ill. Springfield L 50 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Quincy L 58 - 71
2026-01-15 vs William Jewell W 65 - 43
2026-01-17 vs Rockhurst W 65 - 61
2026-01-22 @ Southwest Baptist W 65 - 56
2026-01-23 @ Drury L 58 - 70
2026-01-29 vs Missouri S&T L 62 - 70
2026-01-31 vs Lincoln (MO) W 71 - 41
2026-02-05 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 51 - 64
2026-02-07 @ Maryville (MO) L 37 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Patricia Chikamba - 20 29.2 13.1 5.0 1.8 1.4 0.1 3.6 11.7 6.0 -40 -1.7 -6.7 43.2 31.4 75.4 2.06 49.9 45.5
Autumn Rucker - 20 25.1 11.2 2.5 0.3 0.8 0.2 2.1 8.8 4.3 -99 -4.3 -22.5 48.6 22.2 66.2 -0.41 54.2 50.3
Amyrah Sapenter - 20 29.8 9.0 3.7 1.1 1.4 0.2 2.5 8.3 4.5 -83 -3.6 -14.6 32.3 34.0 70.2 0.28 46.9 41.9
Graycie Poe - 20 28.0 7.4 2.5 1.9 1.2 0.1 2.2 6.7 4.2 -105 -4.6 -20.6 35.8 22.4 92.5 -0.82 48.8 41.4
Halie Gilbert - 19 16.0 4.5 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.5 1.5 4.0 4.8 -87 -4.0 -31.5 47.4 0 68.4 -0.86 50.4 47.4
Ruby Garner - 15 21.6 4.0 2.5 0.8 1.1 0.1 1.6 4.6 2.3 -49 -2.9 -14.3 30.4 35.0 61.1 -0.86 39.0 35.5
Taylor Van Meter - 18 19.8 3.7 2.8 1.1 1.8 0.2 1.3 3.6 4.7 -38 -1.8 -15.4 42.2 10.0 57.1 -1.0 45.7 43.0
Jaelynne Murray - 17 19.2 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.9 3.9 0.9 -57 -3.2 -14.3 22.4 24.4 83.3 1.48 33.0 30.6
Kylah Lawson - 20 19.2 2.3 4.2 1.2 1.2 0.7 1.1 2.6 6.0 73 3.2 17.6 42.3 0 25.0 2.01 41.4 42.3
Sanaa Thomas - 13 6.7 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.8 1.8 19 1.2 17.7 27.3 16.7 91.7 0.74 55.3 31.8
Jenna Guse - 3 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Queen Baker - 9 4.8 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 31 3.1 51.0 28.6 40.0 66.7 1.63 51.9 42.9
Payton Benge - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG