UIndy
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 987 (#201) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1047 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1020 (#195) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.6 (#95) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.4 (#141) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.604 (#279) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.990 (#91) | NetEff +41.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.899 (#140) | AdjNet +19.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.903 (#135) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.778 (#141) | AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.694 (#77) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.716 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.710 (#123) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1054 (#171) | RD 93 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Earlham | W | 95 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Thomas More | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Lewis | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Maryville (MO) | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Tampa | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Eckerd | L | 77 - 84 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Ill. Springfield | L | 74 - 91 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | McKendree | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Upper Iowa | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Quincy | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | William Jewell | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 89 - 87 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Southwest Baptist | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Drury | L | 89 - 107 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | W | 101 - 73 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Maryville (MO) | W | 98 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Harris | - | 23 | 34.3 | 16.1 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 9.3 | 96 | 4.2 | 16.2 | 40.8 | 39.9 | 89.1 | 1.79 | 59.4 | 53.1 |
| Tyler Parrish | - | 23 | 25.5 | 12.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 75 | 3.3 | 16.6 | 46.6 | 42.4 | 83.9 | 1.99 | 60.0 | 56.1 |
| Kelvin Amoako | - | 23 | 29.4 | 10.3 | 8.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 12.7 | 97 | 4.2 | 17.6 | 58.6 | 0 | 65.3 | 1.97 | 62.3 | 58.6 |
| Shaun Arnold | - | 23 | 25.3 | 10.3 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 8.7 | 14.2 | 99 | 4.3 | 21.4 | 43.2 | 25.0 | 72.7 | 1.68 | 50.7 | 45.2 |
| Pierce Thomas | - | 5 | 19.7 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 8.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 59.3 | 61.1 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 77.6 | 79.6 |
| Nathan Dudukovich | - | 23 | 21.8 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 45 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 43.2 | 39.2 | 52.0 | 0.74 | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Julian Norris | - | 9 | 17.9 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 47.5 | 50.0 | 63.6 | -0.76 | 57.4 | 53.8 |
| Noah Kon | - | 23 | 19.1 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 66 | 2.9 | 20.8 | 45.6 | 18.8 | 44.4 | 0.66 | 47.5 | 47.1 |
| Ethan Edwards | - | 22 | 12.8 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 2.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -10.9 | 37.1 | 28.1 | 87.5 | -2.83 | 50.0 | 46.4 |
| Elad Bakshi | - | 23 | 11.6 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2.7 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 42.3 | 38.9 | 61.5 | -4.8 | 53.4 | 52.1 |
| Chase Barnes | - | 8 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | -4 | -0.5 | -9.9 | 18.5 | 16.7 | 78.6 | -1.21 | 36.2 | 24.1 |
| Parker LePla | - | 8 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 64.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 61.5 | 64.7 |
| Nate Orr | - | 8 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -19 | -2.4 | -17.8 | 22.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.93 | 32.5 | 27.8 |
| Drew Busick | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -151.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG