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UIC

Also known as: UIC Flames
Program History

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

77.3
PPG
70.3
Opp
+7.0
Margin
47.9%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
76.3%
FT%
35.7
RPG
17.0
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.9
Adj PPG
73.4
Adj Opp PPG
#188
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 978 (#190) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 971 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1066 (#76) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -1.9 (#188) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +3.2 (#125) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.550 (#140) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.3 More โ†’ 0.435 (#192) AdjNet -2.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.3 More โ†’ 0.434 (#192) AdjNet -2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 73.4 More โ†’ 0.464 (#188) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 73.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 71.0 More โ†’ 0.588 (#96) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.508 (#169) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.533 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 34 More โ†’ 975 (#190) RD 93 | GP 34

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 65 - 55
2017-11-13 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 82 - 86
2017-11-16 vs Delaware State Hornets W 95 - 55
2017-11-18 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 51 - 67
2017-11-26 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 73 - 107
2017-11-29 @ Troy Trojans L 66 - 87
2017-12-02 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 61 - 85
2017-12-06 vs Parkside Rangers W 76 - 48
2017-12-09 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 55 - 65
2017-12-15 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 76 - 60
2017-12-19 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 70 - 71
2017-12-21 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 63 - 69
2017-12-23 vs Trinity Christian Trolls W 84 - 45
2017-12-28 @ Wright State Raiders L 61 - 65
2017-12-30 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 51 - 86
2018-01-04 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 70 - 65
2018-01-10 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 84 - 73
2018-01-12 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 88 - 73
2018-01-15 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 68 - 78
2018-01-18 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 92 - 78
2018-01-20 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 87 - 80
2018-01-27 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 71 - 62
2018-01-29 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 74 - 56
2018-02-02 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 79 - 73
2018-02-04 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 78 - 69
2018-02-08 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 100 - 75
2018-02-10 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 78 - 86
2018-02-16 @ Green Bay Phoenix W 83 - 75
2018-02-19 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 94 - 87
2018-02-23 vs Northern Kentucky Norse L 72 - 79
2018-02-25 vs Wright State Raiders L 81 - 88
2018-03-04 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 75 - 80
2018-03-14 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 84 - 61
2018-03-21 @ Austin Peay Governors W 83 - 81
2018-03-28 @ Liberty Flames W 67 - 51
2018-03-30 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 71 - 76

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dikembe Dixson Dikembe Dixson F 28 29.6 14.1 3.2 0.8 1.3 0.1 2.8 3.3 13.4 22 28 0.8 1.2 42.4 45.5 75.9 -1.83 188.0 47.8
Marcus Ottey Marcus Ottey G 32 27.5 13.6 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 1.8 2.5 15.8 87 31 2.8 4.4 45.7 31.2 100.0 0.13 242.2 48.8
Tarkus Ferguson Tarkus Ferguson G 24 29.3 10.5 5.8 5.2 1.2 0.9 2.7 2.6 18.3 61 23 2.7 4.0 45.2 29.6 81.0 -0.36 177.6 51.6
Tai Odiase Tai Odiase F 32 24.8 9.6 5.5 0.2 0.5 3.1 1.1 1.6 16.3 99 31 3.2 5.6 66.7 0 59.1 2.18 253.0 66.7
Godwin Boahen Godwin Boahen G 30 24.1 8.9 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.1 1.7 1.5 12.2 12 30 0.4 0.8 38.6 36.7 50.0 -3.04 292.8 51.1
Dominique Matthews Dominique Matthews G 32 18.4 7.8 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 1.8 7.9 50 30 1.7 3.8 36.2 35.3 66.7 -0.08 200.1 46.6
Jordan Blount Jordan Blount F 32 24.7 6.1 6.5 2.3 1.2 0.5 2.8 1.5 12.3 109 31 3.5 6.1 52.1 25.0 75.0 2.06 195.9 56.2
Clint Robinson Clint Robinson F 31 15.6 4.5 4.3 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.8 1.1 8.4 -16 29 -0.6 -1.7 51.5 0 78.9 -2.48 168.0 51.5
Michael Diggins Michael Diggins - 31 13.7 3.1 2.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 5.8 - - - - 41.2 50.0 100.0 - 246.9 52.9
Jacob Wiley Jacob Wiley F 23 7.9 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 3.0 -24 22 -1.1 -6.3 60.0 50.0 36.4 -2.47 134.8 65.0
Naradain James Naradain James - 3 8.3 1.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.7 2.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG