UCLA
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1261 (#37) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1229 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 1065 (#77) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +15.0 (#24) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +11.3 (#43) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.794 (#29) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.903 (#28) | AdjNet +19.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.905 (#28) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.778 (#24) | AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.647 (#53) | AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.781 (#35) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.758 (#39) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 1231 (#27) | RD 116 | GP 28 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-27 | vs | Loyola Marymount | W | 115 - 77 |
| 1993-12-04 | vs | NevadaβLas Vegas | W | 108 - 83 |
| 1993-12-08 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 80 - 66 |
| 1993-12-11 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 93 - 51 |
| 1993-12-18 | vs | Louisiana State | W | 100 - 80 |
| 1993-12-20 | @ | Houston | W | 93 - 72 |
| 1993-12-28 | N | NC State | W | 81 - 75 |
| 1994-01-05 | vs | Oregon | W | 89 - 73 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Oregon State | W | 104 - 71 |
| 1994-01-13 | @ | Washington State | W | 81 - 79 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Washington | W | 82 - 62 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | Arizona | W | 74 - 66 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Arizona State | W | 98 - 81 |
| 1994-01-27 | @ | Stanford | W | 69 - 65 |
| 1994-01-30 | @ | California | L | 70 - 85 |
| 1994-02-03 | vs | Southern California | W | 101 - 72 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 63 - 79 |
| 1994-02-10 | vs | Washington | W | 79 - 76 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Washington State | W | 76 - 66 |
| 1994-02-17 | @ | Arizona State | W | 76 - 70 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Arizona | L | 74 - 98 |
| 1994-02-24 | vs | California | L | 88 - 92 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Stanford | W | 103 - 88 |
| 1994-03-03 | @ | Southern California | L | 79 - 85 |
| 1994-03-06 | vs | Louisville | W | 75 - 72 |
| 1994-03-10 | @ | Oregon State | W | 78 - 67 |
| 1994-03-12 | @ | Oregon | L | 79 - 80 |
| 1994-03-18 | N | Tulsa | L | 102 - 112 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.