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UCLA

Also known as: UCLA Bruins, UCLA
Program History

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1261 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1229 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More β†’ 1065 (#77) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More β†’ +15.0 (#24) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More β†’ +11.3 (#43) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.794 (#29) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.4 More β†’ 0.903 (#28) AdjNet +19.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.5 More β†’ 0.905 (#28) AdjNet +19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 71.8 More β†’ 0.778 (#24) AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 75.9 More β†’ 0.647 (#53) AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 75.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.781 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.758 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 28 More β†’ 1231 (#27) RD 116 | GP 28

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-11-27 vs Loyola Marymount W 115 - 77
1993-12-04 vs Nevada–Las Vegas W 108 - 83
1993-12-08 vs Tennessee State W 80 - 66
1993-12-11 vs Long Beach State W 93 - 51
1993-12-18 vs Louisiana State W 100 - 80
1993-12-20 @ Houston W 93 - 72
1993-12-28 N NC State W 81 - 75
1994-01-05 vs Oregon W 89 - 73
1994-01-08 vs Oregon State W 104 - 71
1994-01-13 @ Washington State W 81 - 79
1994-01-15 @ Washington W 82 - 62
1994-01-20 vs Arizona W 74 - 66
1994-01-22 vs Arizona State W 98 - 81
1994-01-27 @ Stanford W 69 - 65
1994-01-30 @ California L 70 - 85
1994-02-03 vs Southern California W 101 - 72
1994-02-05 @ Notre Dame L 63 - 79
1994-02-10 vs Washington W 79 - 76
1994-02-12 vs Washington State W 76 - 66
1994-02-17 @ Arizona State W 76 - 70
1994-02-19 @ Arizona L 74 - 98
1994-02-24 vs California L 88 - 92
1994-02-26 vs Stanford W 103 - 88
1994-03-03 @ Southern California L 79 - 85
1994-03-06 vs Louisville W 75 - 72
1994-03-10 @ Oregon State W 78 - 67
1994-03-12 @ Oregon L 79 - 80
1994-03-18 N Tulsa L 102 - 112

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.