UCF
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1488 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1395 (#64) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +32.4 (#74) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.199 (#79) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.071 (#107) | AdjNet -22.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.072 (#107) | AdjNet -22.3 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-12 | vs | Miami Hurricanes | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2019-11-28 | @ | Pennsylvania Quakers | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2020-03-12 | vs | South Florida Bulls | - | Preview |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Ingram
|
G | 1 | 38.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.1 | 32.5 |
C. Smith
|
F | 2 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 45.8 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 0.08 | 52.8 | 47.9 |
Da. Green Jr.
|
- | 2 | 23.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 40 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 50.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0.41 | 58.7 | 60.0 |
C. DeJesus
|
G | 2 | 25.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | - | 49.4 | 43.3 |
F. Bertz
|
G | 2 | 26.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
Fuller Jr., Dre
|
- | 2 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 31.3 | 27.3 |
A. Diggs
|
C | 2 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 59.5 | 60.0 |
M. Milon
|
G | 2 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 14.3 | 50.0 | - | 25.3 | 22.7 |
B. Mahan
|
G | 2 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | -2.5 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 11.1 | 11.1 |
T. Johnson Jr.
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.98 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG