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UCF

Season: 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History
Coach: Kirk Speraw

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1693 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1410 (#98) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +28.9 (#111) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.690 (#26) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.337 (#85) AdjNet -5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.8 More → 0.336 (#84) AdjNet -5.8

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-22 vs Puerto Rico–Mayaguez W 92 - 59
2003-11-26 @ - W 72 - 63
2003-11-28 @ - L 60 - 74
2003-12-04 @ - L 39 - 59
2003-12-06 vs UCF W 80 - 52
2003-12-22 @ - L 67 - 69
2003-12-30 vs Tennessee-Martin W 80 - 68
2004-01-03 vs UCF W 70 - 60
2004-01-05 vs UCF W 60 - 56
2004-01-09 @ - L 58 - 71
2004-01-11 @ - L 51 - 63
2004-01-14 @ - L 52 - 70
2004-01-17 vs Lipscomb W 68 - 58
2004-01-19 vs UCF W 68 - 63
2004-01-23 @ - L 72 - 74
2004-01-28 vs UCF W 75 - 66
2004-01-31 vs UCF L 64 - 76
2004-02-05 @ - W 77 - 61
2004-02-12 vs UCF W 78 - 69
2004-02-14 vs UCF W 74 - 54
2004-02-19 @ - L 58 - 83
2004-02-21 @ - W 63 - 61
2004-02-26 vs Gardner-Webb W 87 - 79
2004-02-28 vs Campbell W 106 - 56
2004-03-04 @ - W 71 - 63
2004-03-05 @ - L 62 - 64
2004-03-06 @ - W 60 - 55
2004-03-19 @ - L 44 - 53

2004 Roster

No roster data available for this season.