Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1073 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1090 (#106) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1147 (#41) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.6 (#75) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.2 (#135) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.683 (#295) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.766 (#206) | NetEff +9.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.881 (#220) | AdjNet +17.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.892 (#218) | AdjNet +17.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.737 (#220) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.732 (#63) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.814 (#88) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.812 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1154 (#71) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Texas-Dallas | W | 88 - 83 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Texas Woman's | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | West Tex. A&M | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Western N.M. | W | 87 - 52 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Central Okla. | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 47 - 73 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 82 - 45 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Lubbock Christian | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | UT Permian Basin | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Regis (CO) | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | N.M. Highlands | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Fort Lewis | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Western Colo. | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 64 - 38 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Black Hills St. | W | 73 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amyah Moore Allen | - | 20 | 31.9 | 19.9 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 15.8 | 12.5 | 158 | 6.9 | 23.0 | 48.9 | 29.5 | 71.0 | 4.62 | 55.3 | 51.7 |
| Ayianna Johnson | - | 20 | 22.8 | 13.2 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 91 | 4.1 | 21.6 | 54.0 | 0 | 68.1 | 1.22 | 57.2 | 54.0 |
| Jayla Jackson-Allen | - | 20 | 25.9 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 109 | 4.7 | 19.9 | 44.2 | 31.9 | 74.5 | 1.22 | 53.6 | 50.3 |
| Mya Wilson | - | 20 | 24.6 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 43 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 40.9 | 38.9 | 65.2 | 3.23 | 50.4 | 44.9 |
| Rylie Ottmann | - | 20 | 24.7 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 70 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 61.2 | -1.16 | 50.2 | 45.0 |
| Breelyn Robinson | - | 20 | 22.3 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 28.3 | 29.7 | 55.6 | -1.25 | 42.0 | 40.2 |
| Brooklyn Hurtado | - | 17 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 13 | 0.7 | 11.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 82.1 | -1.82 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
| Gia Bradley | - | 20 | 14.6 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 34 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 36.9 | 33.3 | 69.2 | -0.32 | 50.9 | 48.5 |
| Ellie Reynolds | - | 14 | 14.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | -8 | -0.5 | -5.2 | 47.4 | 40.7 | 28.6 | -0.95 | 59.6 | 61.8 |
| Brynae Stewart | - | 19 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 24 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 27.7 | 15.8 | 41.2 | 0.5 | 33.0 | 30.9 |
| Olivia Towns | - | 4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 91 | 4.5 | 60.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Mia DiPuccio | - | 5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 | 9.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.82 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Grace Stanley | - | 4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 2 | 0.5 | 17.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Lydia Flowers | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG