Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 993 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1041 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 976 (#417) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.9 (#128) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#333) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.576 (#298) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.686 (#307) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.686 (#314) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.615 (#310) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 77.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.481 (#343) | AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 85.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.499 (#313) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.488 (#326) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 986 (#235) | RD 95 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Midwestern St. | L | 90 - 97 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cameron | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | W | 85 - 84 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Western Wash. | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Simon Fraser | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Colorado Mesa | W | 92 - 80 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 92 - 97 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 100 - 74 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Denver | L | 93 - 129 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Bethany (KS) | W | 103 - 83 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Western Colo. | W | 98 - 89 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 87 - 88 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | CSU Pueblo | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Regis (CO) | W | 93 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 98 - 85 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | N.M. Highlands | L | 79 - 94 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Fort Lewis | L | 84 - 90 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Western Colo. | W | 93 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 81 - 112 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marzouq Ibn Abdur-Razaaq | - | 23 | 22.7 | 13.6 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 10.6 | 73 | 3.2 | 15.4 | 56.9 | 37.5 | 67.1 | 0.47 | 61.9 | 59.6 |
| Mario Williams Jr. | - | 23 | 23.3 | 12.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 107 | 4.7 | 25.2 | 43.4 | 34.1 | 73.1 | -0.72 | 57.0 | 53.0 |
| Xavier Martinez | - | 22 | 28.7 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 9.4 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 43.7 | 32.0 | 77.9 | -0.34 | 57.0 | 51.5 |
| Brody Hull | - | 23 | 23.4 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 86 | 3.9 | 19.4 | 45.1 | 31.0 | 84.7 | 0.73 | 59.7 | 51.1 |
| Gavin Carter | - | 19 | 16.9 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 4.9 | -19 | -1.1 | -6.9 | 50.0 | 23.1 | 56.4 | -3.33 | 53.6 | 51.3 |
| Jayden Washington | - | 3 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 9.3 | 8 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 69.3 | 70.0 |
| Derik Pranger | - | 11 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 2.1 | -16 | -1.5 | -12.4 | 33.3 | 29.3 | 78.6 | -1.38 | 45.9 | 42.0 |
| Alexander Hurr | - | 21 | 13.5 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 4.0 | -30 | -1.4 | -17.0 | 49.5 | 38.5 | 60.9 | -2.1 | 60.5 | 59.6 |
| Jezza McKenzie | - | 23 | 21.1 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 37 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 42.1 | 39.2 | 67.4 | 1.4 | 55.4 | 51.4 |
| Shawn Williams | - | 23 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 13 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 55.7 | 0 | 51.7 | 1.61 | 56.0 | 55.7 |
| Tre Lucia | - | 23 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 25 | 1.1 | 23.0 | 48.5 | 44.2 | 87.5 | 0.37 | 64.3 | 62.5 |
| Evan McKean | - | 23 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 13 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 34.1 | 26.5 | 54.5 | -0.59 | 42.7 | 39.4 |
| Brady Jones | - | 7 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.9 | -29 | -4.8 | -71.7 | 90.9 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.05 | 92.6 | 90.9 |
| Gunter Daniels | - | 3 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 58.0 | 41.7 |
| James Ellis | - | 16 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 10 | 0.7 | 25.5 | 53.3 | 47.6 | 75.0 | 0.45 | 70.8 | 70.0 |
| Greg Gerhardt | - | 3 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Joshua Ray | - | 17 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 110 | 5.5 | 83.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.64 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Azar Ghezae | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG