UC San Diego
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1011 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 997 (#241) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.6 (#156) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#116) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.358 (#514) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.250 (#316) | NetEff -8.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#45) | AdjNet +59.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.561 (#362) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#50) | AdjNet +58.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.559 (#361) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.969 (#54) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.523 (#359) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | vs | Occidental | W | 86 - 51 |
| 2024-11-06 | vs | Claremont-M-S | W | 70 - 26 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 50 - 57 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | La Verne | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Whittier | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Caltech | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 96 - 60 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2024-11-24 | @ | Occidental | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Menlo | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Chapman | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | UC Merced | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Willamette | L | 53 - 87 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | George Fox | L | 45 - 47 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Lewis & Clark | L | 43 - 51 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Whittier | W | 47 - 46 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 54 - 73 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | L | 46 - 76 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Menlo | L | 50 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Simpson (CA) | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Cal Maritime | W | 68 - 39 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Simpson (CA) | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Mount Mary | W | 77 - 33 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 50 - 76 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Prajitno | - | 1 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 64.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 72.7 | 70.6 |
| Sabrina Ma | - | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0.63 | 85.6 | 92.9 |
| Nicki Polocheck | - | 1 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Sumayah Sugapong | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 38.5 | 34.4 |
| Jasmine Prajitno | - | 1 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -103 | -3.1 | -4.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Alyssa Smith | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | -80 | -2.5 | -2.5 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 94.9 | 90.0 |
| Anya Choice | - | 2 | 21.0 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 0.07 | 67.3 | 64.3 |
| Zoe Borter | - | 2 | 22.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 58.6 | 52.9 |
| Marissa Howell | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | -20 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 28.6 | 37.5 | 0 | -0.09 | 39.3 | 39.3 |
| Emilie Ngo | - | 24 | 32.5 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 9.3 | 7.0 | -56 | -2.2 | -1.8 | 49.3 | 25.0 | 63.9 | 0.36 | 53.4 | 52.0 |
| Jessica Grant | - | 2 | 20.5 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 46.7 | 46.7 | 0 | -0.07 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Alyssa Marin | - | 2 | 19.0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 40.0 | 83.3 | 0.13 | 48.5 | 42.1 |
| Alexa Litchev | - | 21 | 24.0 | 10.4 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 10.1 | 6.0 | -67 | -3.5 | -3.8 | 37.7 | 13.3 | 80.0 | -0.13 | 44.9 | 38.2 |
| Ariel Anderson | - | 12 | 21.8 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 60 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 32.7 | 13.3 | 82.2 | -0.16 | 42.8 | 33.6 |
| Gracie Gallegos | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 47.7 | 44.4 |
| Skylar Burke | - | 2 | 26.5 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Annie Trinh | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -49 | -2.1 | -2.3 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Claire Galbo | - | 24 | 32.1 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 7.7 | 6.0 | -48 | -2.1 | -1.9 | 38.4 | 36.2 | 62.7 | 0.22 | 49.7 | 46.2 |
| Jenna Gorton | - | 21 | 25.4 | 8.7 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 10.0 | -93 | -5.5 | -5.7 | 41.7 | 20.8 | 78.3 | -0.65 | 49.9 | 43.3 |
| Martha Pietsch | - | 2 | 15.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 72.3 | 65.0 |
| Alyssa Jackson | - | 24 | 31.9 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 2.2 | -106 | -4.1 | -3.8 | 31.1 | 28.2 | 65.2 | -1.12 | 43.0 | 41.6 |
| Kayanna Spriggs | - | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Junae Mahan | - | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Flora Goed | - | 2 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 73.2 | 75.0 |
| Rosa Smith | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 23 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.62 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Eri Blithikioti | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Kanani Coon | - | 2 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 87.2 | 83.3 |
| Arshiya Ranjitkar | - | 2 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.4 | 40.0 |
| Emma Svoboda | - | 1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Cayla Harang | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lindsay Zientek | - | 21 | 18.6 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 3.0 | -12 | -0.8 | -1.1 | 33.7 | 26.7 | 53.8 | -0.01 | 41.7 | 40.4 |
| Talysha Wilkerson | - | 8 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 22.2 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 49.3 | 38.5 |
| Laurel Rockwood | - | 2 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Damilola Sule | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Parker Montgomery | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Analillia Cabuena | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Cayla Williams | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 34 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.32 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Josslyn Calizo | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Mia Mabang | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Niani Shields | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Jossy Calizo | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Lia Papador | - | 24 | 12.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -90 | -3.6 | -5.9 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.72 | 43.3 | 38.9 |
| Ally Co | - | 11 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -28 | -4.7 | -10.0 | 23.5 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.21 | 30.8 | 29.4 |
| Danielle Tyner | - | 22 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -32 | -1.6 | -2.5 | 81.8 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.18 | 81.2 | 81.8 |
| Allie Lorton | - | 10 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Madison Dellner | - | 21 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 11.1 | 12.5 | 0 | 0.22 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Gabby Louther | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Grace Talbot | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Malani Mastora | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Karena Eberts | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Vanessa Ojeikere | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Fiyona Haile | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -24 | -1.1 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Madison Salisbury | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Deanna Ayao | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Te' Limon | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Christen Ziska | - | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -58 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ella Emanuel | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -18 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Caydence Hook | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG