🐻⬇️🏀

UC San Diego

Also known as: UC San Diego
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1011 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 997 (#241) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +2.6 (#156) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#116) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.358 (#514) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.5 More → 0.250 (#316) NetEff -8.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +59.4 More → 0.999 (#45) AdjNet +59.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.1 More → 0.561 (#362) AdjNet +2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +58.2 More → 0.999 (#50) AdjNet +58.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.0 More → 0.559 (#361) AdjNet +2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2 More → 0.969 (#54) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.523 (#359) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Occidental W 86 - 51
2024-11-06 vs Claremont-M-S W 70 - 26
2024-11-09 @ Claremont-M-S L 55 - 58
2024-11-10 @ Pomona-Pitzer L 50 - 57
2024-11-14 @ La Verne W 82 - 80
2024-11-15 @ Whittier L 56 - 63
2024-11-17 @ Caltech L 56 - 66
2024-11-21 vs Cal Lutheran W 96 - 60
2024-11-22 @ Cal Lutheran L 56 - 60
2024-11-24 @ Occidental W 55 - 52
2024-11-26 @ Menlo L 66 - 75
2024-11-30 vs Chapman W 82 - 78
2024-12-01 vs Cal Lutheran L 60 - 71
2024-12-07 @ UC Merced W 63 - 61
2024-12-16 @ Willamette L 53 - 87
2024-12-18 @ Pacific (OR) L 55 - 68
2024-12-20 @ George Fox L 45 - 47
2024-12-21 @ Lewis & Clark L 43 - 51
2024-12-29 vs Whittier W 47 - 46
2025-01-02 @ Texas-Dallas L 54 - 75
2025-01-03 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor L 54 - 73
2025-01-05 @ East Tex. Baptist L 46 - 76
2025-01-07 vs Menlo L 50 - 67
2025-01-11 vs Simpson (CA) W 59 - 53
2025-01-30 @ Cal Maritime W 68 - 39
2025-02-11 @ Simpson (CA) L 56 - 65
2025-02-27 @ Mount Mary W 77 - 33
2025-02-28 @ Chris. Newport L 50 - 76

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justine Prajitno - 1 27.0 26.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 11.0 -1 -0.2 -0.2 64.7 50.0 100.0 0.16 72.7 70.6
Sabrina Ma - 1 18.0 15.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 - - - 71.4 75.0 50.0 0.63 85.6 92.9
Nicki Polocheck - 1 19.0 14.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 12.0 - - - 60.0 40.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Sumayah Sugapong - 1 24.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 4.0 - - - 31.2 14.3 100.0 - 38.5 34.4
Jasmine Prajitno - 1 12.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 -103 -3.1 -4.4 66.7 0 100.0 -0.43 77.3 66.7
Alyssa Smith - 1 23.0 12.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 16.0 -80 -2.5 -2.5 80.0 100.0 100.0 -0.41 94.9 90.0
Anya Choice - 2 21.0 11.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.5 - - - 57.1 33.3 71.4 0.07 67.3 64.3
Zoe Borter - 2 22.5 11.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 3.0 8.5 5.5 - - - 41.2 36.4 100.0 0.2 58.6 52.9
Marissa Howell - 1 31.0 11.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 6.0 -20 -0.9 -0.9 28.6 37.5 0 -0.09 39.3 39.3
Emilie Ngo - 24 32.5 10.6 3.5 3.5 1.8 0.1 3.3 9.3 7.0 -56 -2.2 -1.8 49.3 25.0 63.9 0.36 53.4 52.0
Jessica Grant - 2 20.5 10.5 4.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 7.5 10.5 5 0.2 0.3 46.7 46.7 0 -0.07 70.0 70.0
Alyssa Marin - 2 19.0 10.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 9.5 4.5 - - - 31.6 40.0 83.3 0.13 48.5 42.1
Alexa Litchev - 21 24.0 10.4 6.0 1.2 1.0 0.3 3.0 10.1 6.0 -67 -3.5 -3.8 37.7 13.3 80.0 -0.13 44.9 38.2
Ariel Anderson - 12 21.8 9.2 4.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 3.2 9.2 3.8 60 1.9 2.9 32.7 13.3 82.2 -0.16 42.8 33.6
Gracie Gallegos - 1 15.0 9.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 47.7 44.4
Skylar Burke - 2 26.5 9.0 6.5 3.5 2.0 1.0 1.5 8.0 12.5 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.21 53.3 50.0
Annie Trinh - 1 25.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -49 -2.1 -2.3 42.9 25.0 100.0 -0.35 57.1 50.0
Claire Galbo - 24 32.1 8.9 4.9 1.3 0.8 1.0 3.2 7.7 6.0 -48 -2.1 -1.9 38.4 36.2 62.7 0.22 49.7 46.2
Jenna Gorton - 21 25.4 8.7 7.5 1.4 0.9 1.0 2.0 7.4 10.0 -93 -5.5 -5.7 41.7 20.8 78.3 -0.65 49.9 43.3
Martha Pietsch - 2 15.5 8.5 2.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 72.3 65.0
Alyssa Jackson - 24 31.9 8.2 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.0 1.8 9.1 2.2 -106 -4.1 -3.8 31.1 28.2 65.2 -1.12 43.0 41.6
Kayanna Spriggs - 1 25.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 0 66.7 - 54.6 50.0
Junae Mahan - 1 16.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 100.0 - 64.3 60.0
Flora Goed - 2 17.5 6.5 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 6.0 - - - 75.0 0 50.0 - 73.2 75.0
Rosa Smith - 1 16.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 23 2.6 6.9 40.0 50.0 0 0.62 60.0 60.0
Eri Blithikioti - 1 19.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Kanani Coon - 2 15.0 6.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 7.5 - - - 66.7 66.7 100.0 - 87.2 83.3
Arshiya Ranjitkar - 2 10.0 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.0 1.5 - - - 40.0 0.0 50.0 - 41.4 40.0
Emma Svoboda - 1 5.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Cayla Harang - 1 15.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 -0.19 50.0 50.0
Lindsay Zientek - 21 18.6 3.8 3.2 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.0 4.2 3.0 -12 -0.8 -1.1 33.7 26.7 53.8 -0.01 41.7 40.4
Talysha Wilkerson - 8 14.6 3.8 1.4 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.8 - - - 30.8 22.2 100.0 -0.18 49.3 38.5
Laurel Rockwood - 2 15.5 3.0 8.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.5 8.0 - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Damilola Sule - 1 8.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Parker Montgomery - 1 14.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Analillia Cabuena - 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Cayla Williams - 1 12.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 34 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.32 34.7 0.0
Josslyn Calizo - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 -3 -0.1 -0.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.15 33.3 33.3
Mia Mabang - 1 17.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -4.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 -0.13 16.7 16.7
Niani Shields - 1 7.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -5 -0.2 -0.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.26 21.0 0.0
Jossy Calizo - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 -3 -0.1 -0.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.15 33.3 33.3
Lia Papador - 24 12.1 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.8 -90 -3.6 -5.9 38.9 0.0 70.0 -0.72 43.3 38.9
Ally Co - 11 8.6 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 0.6 -28 -4.7 -10.0 23.5 28.6 50.0 -0.21 30.8 29.4
Danielle Tyner - 22 4.6 0.9 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 2.2 -32 -1.6 -2.5 81.8 0 66.7 0.18 81.2 81.8
Allie Lorton - 10 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Madison Dellner - 21 4.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 -3 -0.2 -0.8 11.1 12.5 0 0.22 16.7 16.7
Gabby Louther - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Grace Talbot - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Malani Mastora - 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Karena Eberts - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Vanessa Ojeikere - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Fiyona Haile - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -24 -1.1 -3.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.23 0.0 0.0
Madison Salisbury - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Deanna Ayao - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Te' Limon - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0
Christen Ziska - 1 23.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 -58 -2.5 -3.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0
Ella Emanuel - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -1.2 -5.0 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Caydence Hook - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 0.5 0 0 0 0.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG