UC Riverside
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 715 (#333) | Preseason prior 740 (returning production + recruiting): last season 902, returning -81, transfers -81, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 808 (#331) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 897 (#328) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -22.6 (#345) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -22.2 (#345) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.054 (#314) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.128 (#340) | AdjNet -26.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.131 (#337) | AdjNet -25.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.213 (#331) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.252 (#333) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.159 (#339) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.166 (#339) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 789 (#329) | RD 195 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.105 (#336) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Occidental Tigers | W | 83 - 40 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Seattle U Redhawks | L | 55 - 80 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Gonzaga Bulldogs | L | 58 - 85 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Wichita State Shockers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Oregon State Beavers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylor Swanson
|
G | 2 | 28.5 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 12.0 | 4.0 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -3.0 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 71.4 | -0.72 | 44.3 | 39.6 |
London Gamble
|
G | 2 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 22.2 | 100.0 | - | 43.1 | 40.0 |
Kaylani Polk
|
G | 2 | 30.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 3.5 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -5.4 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 39.6 | 30.6 |
Harisa Mehmedovic
|
F | 1 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.5 | 33.3 |
Amy Pateman
|
G | 2 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 27.3 | 37.5 | 87.5 | - | 55.1 | 40.9 |
Kyori Lloyd
|
F | 2 | 24.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 27.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 43.1 | 36.4 |
Graecyn Parahi
|
G | 2 | 25.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.3 | 55.6 |
Alana White
|
F | 2 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 86.8 | 100.0 |
Maria Mejia
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -3.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Lucia Moreno Tallon
|
F | 2 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
Aaliyah Stanton
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Celeste Mack
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Morgan Mack
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Dylan Tse
|
G | 2 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
109 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Taylor SwansonLondon GambleKaylani PolkAmy PatemanKyori LloydAlana WhiteMaria Mejia
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 10-17 | 58.8 | 20 | Alana White 20% (4 pts) | Kaylani Polk 20% (4 pts) | Kaylani Polk 29% (2 misses) | Kyori Lloyd 29% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 10-25 | 40.0 | 20 | Taylor Swanson 30% (6 pts) | Kaylani Polk 20% (4 pts) | Taylor Swanson 33% (5 misses) | Kaylani Polk 27% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-9 | 11.1 | 2 | Taylor Swanson 100% (2 pts) | - | London Gamble 38% (3 misses) | Lucia Moreno Tallon 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Taylor Swanson 100% (2 pts) | - | Taylor Swanson 50% (2 misses) | Kaylani Polk 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-13 | 15.4 | 4 | London Gamble 50% (2 pts) | Taylor Swanson 50% (2 pts) | Kaylani Polk 27% (3 misses) | Taylor Swanson 27% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Amy Pateman 33% (3 pts) | Graecyn Parahi 33% (3 pts) | Kaylani Polk 50% (1 misses) | Kyori Lloyd 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Amy Pateman 100% (3 pts) | - | Amy Pateman 25% (1 misses) | Kaylani Polk 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 2-13 | 15.4 | 6 | Maria Mejia 50% (3 pts) | Taylor Swanson 50% (3 pts) | London Gamble 36% (4 misses) | Graecyn Parahi 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Kyori Lloyd 50% (3 pts) | London Gamble 50% (3 pts) | Amy Pateman 33% (1 misses) | Kaylani Polk 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-12 | 33.3 | 12 | Amy Pateman 25% (3 pts) | Graecyn Parahi 25% (3 pts) | Amy Pateman 25% (2 misses) | London Gamble 25% (2 misses) |