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UC Merced

Season: 2026 2025 2022 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: UC Merced
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 932 (#332) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.306 (#535) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.6 More → 0.397 (#410) AdjNet -3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.398 (#409) AdjNet -3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.462 (#391) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 70.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-12-07 vs UC Santa Cruz L 61 - 63

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nicole Lukito - 1 34.0 25.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 20.0 21.0 - - - 55.0 50.0 50.0 0.03 57.4 57.5
Sarina Nagra - 1 38.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 4.0 - - - 36.4 20.0 100.0 0.0 43.7 40.9
Leilani Blecha - 1 32.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 - - - 30.0 28.6 50.0 - 41.4 40.0
Megan Williams - 1 9.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 87 3.3 4.0 100.0 0 0 1.53 100.0 100.0
Paloma Ramirez - 1 21.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 6.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Jazzy Beltran - 1 33.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 20.0 33.3 0 -0.1 30.0 30.0
Quinn Godfrey - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elise Lebeau - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Madison Diaz - 1 24.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 41 1.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0
Mariah Flores - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 29 1.9 9.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.56 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG