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UC Merced

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: UC Merced
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 829 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 849 (#330) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.5 (#221) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.093 (#540) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.1 More → 0.597 (#194) NetEff +3.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.219 (#509) AdjNet -11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.7 More → 0.221 (#511) AdjNet -10.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.321 (#533) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 73.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 @ Cal Poly - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 @ Sonoma St. - Incomplete score
2024-11-30 @ Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2024-12-01 @ Academy of Art - Incomplete score
2024-12-05 @ Fresno St. - Incomplete score
2024-12-07 vs UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2024-12-21 @ Chico St. - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nicole Lukito - 5 33.4 14.6 13.0 2.8 1.4 2.6 1.8 12.2 20.4 -46 -2.6 -2.4 49.2 28.6 78.6 -0.05 54.3 50.8
Sarina Nagra - 5 33.6 12.4 2.2 1.8 0.6 0.4 2.0 13.4 2.0 -66 -3.7 -3.2 34.3 31.0 58.3 0.05 42.9 41.0
Madison Diaz - 3 29.7 12.0 5.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 10.3 7.3 - - - 41.9 42.1 100.0 0.05 56.5 54.8
Leilani Blecha - 4 26.2 7.8 2.8 2.0 1.5 0.2 2.2 9.5 2.5 - - - 31.6 26.1 50.0 -0.66 39.9 39.5
Mariah Flores - 5 11.2 6.8 1.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.8 5.6 1.8 -88 -5.2 -7.2 42.9 62.5 71.4 -0.66 54.7 51.8
Jazzy Beltran - 4 32.8 6.0 2.5 2.2 1.5 0.0 3.0 7.8 1.5 -81 -6.2 -6.1 19.4 44.4 80.0 -0.32 33.9 25.8
Paloma Ramirez - 5 15.6 4.0 3.0 1.2 1.2 0.0 1.6 6.8 1.0 -73 -4.1 -4.9 29.4 0.0 0 -0.33 29.4 29.4
Elise Lebeau - 2 18.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 -0.5 -21 -1.2 -2.3 18.2 16.7 0 -0.24 22.7 22.7
Megan Williams - 5 4.6 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.0 25 0.7 1.4 40.0 0 0 -0.05 40.0 40.0
Sydney Boyd - 4 7.0 1.5 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.8 -60 -4.3 -14.5 25.0 0 100.0 -0.59 33.8 25.0
Quinn Godfrey - 5 7.6 0.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.0 -74 -4.4 -7.7 33.3 0 50.0 -0.27 38.7 33.3
Gabby Martini - 4 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Alex Surrena-Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maya Sanborn - 3 2.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG