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UC Merced

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: UC Merced
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 829 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 849 (#330) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.5 (#221) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.093 (#540) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.1 More → 0.597 (#194) NetEff +3.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.219 (#509) AdjNet -11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.7 More → 0.221 (#511) AdjNet -10.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.321 (#533) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 73.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 @ Cal Poly L 40 - 72
2024-11-23 @ Sonoma St. L 63 - 70
2024-11-30 @ Dominican (CA) L 58 - 81
2024-12-01 @ Academy of Art L 62 - 67
2024-12-05 @ Fresno St. L 60 - 83
2024-12-07 vs UC Santa Cruz L 61 - 63
2024-12-21 @ Chico St. L 65 - 74

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nicole Lukito - 7 34.3 13.4 11.3 2.1 1.1 2.1 1.9 11.1 17.1 -46 -2.6 -2.4 47.4 28.6 85.7 -0.05 53.9 48.7
Madison Diaz - 5 24.4 11.0 4.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.4 8.8 7.0 - - - 45.5 46.4 100.0 0.05 61.3 60.2
Sarina Nagra - 7 32.0 10.9 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.4 1.7 13.3 1.6 -66 -3.7 -3.2 30.1 30.6 56.2 0.05 38.0 36.0
Leilani Blecha - 6 26.3 7.7 2.8 1.3 1.5 0.2 2.8 9.8 0.8 - - - 28.8 24.3 75.0 -0.66 37.9 36.4
Mariah Flores - 7 11.0 6.4 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 1.7 5.1 2.4 -88 -5.2 -7.2 41.7 60.0 75.0 -0.66 54.5 50.0
Jazzy Beltran - 6 29.8 5.5 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.0 3.2 6.8 1.3 -81 -6.2 -6.1 24.4 45.5 80.0 -0.32 36.3 30.5
Paloma Ramirez - 7 16.0 3.1 3.4 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.6 6.0 0.7 -73 -4.1 -4.9 26.2 0.0 0 -0.33 26.2 26.2
Elise Lebeau - 2 18.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 -0.5 -21 -1.2 -2.3 18.2 16.7 0 -0.24 22.7 22.7
Megan Williams - 7 5.6 1.7 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 0.1 25 0.7 1.4 40.0 0 0 -0.05 40.0 40.0
Sydney Boyd - 6 6.0 1.2 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.2 -60 -4.3 -14.5 20.0 0 75.0 -0.59 29.8 20.0
Quinn Godfrey - 7 8.9 0.4 3.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.9 3.3 -74 -4.4 -7.7 16.7 0 50.0 -0.27 21.8 16.7
Gabby Martini - 6 3.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -1.2 - - - 11.1 0.0 0 - 11.1 11.1
Isabella Mia Henson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maya Sanborn - 5 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alex Surrena-Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG