UC Merced
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 829 (#357) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 849 (#330) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.3 (#239) | HCA +2.7 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 47 - 75 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niamey Guillory | - | 2 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 12.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 45.0 | 41.7 |
| Emily Perez | - | 1 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 30.6 | 26.7 |
| Sarina Nagra | - | 2 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -63 | -4.2 | -4.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 42.9 | -0.13 | 43.1 | 41.7 |
| Nicole Lukito | - | 2 | 21.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.5 | -61 | -4.1 | -4.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 57.4 | 50.0 |
| Leilani Blecha | - | 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | -63 | -4.8 | -7.2 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.42 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Megan Williams | - | 2 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 18 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.39 | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Imani Johnson | - | 2 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 29 | 4.1 | 10.2 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0.28 | 29.1 | 29.2 |
| Jazzy Beltran | - | 2 | 33.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.3 | 25.2 | 23.1 |
| Paloma Ramirez | - | 2 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 | -0.5 | -56 | -3.7 | -4.5 | 11.8 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.35 | 14.7 | 14.7 |
| Lily Wilson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 98 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Michelle Orellana | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gabby Martini | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gabrielle Samiy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isabella Mia Henson | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jazmine Fontilla | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amaree Bennett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Kennedy Lain | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Malia Abrenica | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Faith Mucheru | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chanel Polk | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG